Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 24

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Artigas		Atenas de San Carlos

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.98	2.4
	3.32	2.94	2.31
	2.73	3	2.44
	2.57	3.1	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.57)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)	2.45 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Artigas
32.1%

Draw
30.5%

Atenas de San Carlos
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

29.6%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

29.2%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Artigas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Atenas de San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Artigas than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Artigas - Atenas de San Carlos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
30', 0 - 2, ⚽,
44', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
48', 0 - 4, ⚽,
72', 0 - 5, ⚽,
79', 0 - 6, ⚽,
89', 1 - 6, ⚽,
89', 1 - 7, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 7).

Artigas is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Atenas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Artigas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Artigas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Artigas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.10.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Artigas	6:1 ✺
27.09.25	Artigas - Central Español	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Oriental de La Paz - Artigas	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Artigas - Tacuarembó	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Artigas	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLTW
- Atenas de San Carlos
Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.10.25	Central Español - Atenas de San Carlos	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Tacuarembó	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Rentistas - Atenas de San Carlos	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Atenas de San Carlos - La Luz	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Cerrito - Atenas de San Carlos	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.07.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Artigas	1:1
20.04.25	Artigas - Atenas de San Carlos	0:3

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