Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 19

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	La Unión		Antoniano

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.82	3.95
	1.95	2.82	4.57	Watch
	1.93	2.7	4.77
	1.92	2.71	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.06)	2.76 ↓ (2.96)	4.57 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Unión
47%

Draw
33.1%

Antoniano
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

30.6%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

33.4%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Unión has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Antoniano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Antoniano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Unión than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antoniano than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

La Unión - Antoniano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Sanchez M. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Bernabeu G. ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, Fernandez Marquez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 2 - 2, Francis ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 8).

La Unión is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Antoniano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, La Unión is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, La Unión won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, La Unión won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Antoniano	5	0	2	3	2:7	-5	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Unión CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
11.01.26	Xerez Deportivo - La Unión	4:2 ✺
04.01.26	La Unión - Estepona	0:3 ✺
21.12.25	UCAM Murcia - La Unión	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	La Unión - Yeclano Deportivo	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Águilas - La Unión	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWTL
- CA Antoniano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
11.01.26	Antoniano - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Yeclano Deportivo - Antoniano	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Antoniano - Minera	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Recreativo Huelva - Antoniano	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Antoniano - Lorca Deportiva	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.02.25	Antoniano - La Unión	1:4
29.09.24	La Unión - Antoniano	0:1
17.03.24	La Unión - Antoniano	2:1
05.11.23	Antoniano - La Unión	0:2

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