Match Info

Serie D - Round 5

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday


	Lagarto		Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.25	2
	3.2	3	2.2
	2.83	2.92	2.63
	3.28	3.04	2.2	Watch
	3.14	3.25	2.26
	3.2	3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.3)	3.08 ↓ (3.4)	2.25 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lagarto
29.3%

Draw
29.9%

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

26.4%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lagarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lagarto's form might have worsened.

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense's recent form is better than expected.

Lagarto - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lagarto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

ASA is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lagarto won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Lagarto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lagarto FC
Brazilian Serie D
10.05.25	Penedense - Lagarto	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Lagarto - Sergipe	0:3 ✺
19.04.25	Lagarto - União Carmolandense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
05.03.25	Lagarto - Falcon	0:1 penalties ✺
01.03.25	Lagarto - Falcon	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWLW
- Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Brazilian Serie D
10.05.25	Sergipe - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Penedense	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Jequié	4:2 ✺
20.04.25	Juazeirense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
05.04.25	Penedense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
26.06.22	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Lagarto	1:1
07.05.22	Lagarto - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	4:0

Lagarto - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide