Match Info

FINLAND: VEIKKAUSLIIGA

Date: 7 August 2023, Monday

Location: Lahden Stadion (Lahti)

Referee: Simani P. (Fin)


	Lahti		Honka

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.3	2.05	Watch
	3.8	3.3	1.98
	3.9	3.5	1.9
	3.94	3.4	2.08
	3.6	3.1	1.91
	3.74	3.42	2.01	Watch
	3.7	3.3	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↓ (4.18)	3.33 ↓ (3.35)	1.99 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lahti
24.8%

Draw
28.1%

Honka
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

28.1%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

28.4%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lahti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Honka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lahti than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Honka than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	4.8%	81%

Lahti - Honka Predictions

Users Predictions: Honka will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ljubic M. (G) 33. Simunovic L. 2. Kabashi A. 15. Pirttijoki J. (C) 27. Penninkangas T. 10. Virta E. 5. Djalo B. 25. Kuningas M. 24. Krekovic L. 9. Matheus Alves 7. Zeqiri A.	1. Rudakov M. (C) 26. Naamo D. 21. Koski V. 23. Hernandez A. 20. Rale M. 32. Ortiz L. 11. Krebs F. 7. Bauque C. 13. Eremenko R. 88. Koskinen O. 15. Arko-Mensah E.
Substitutes
22. Hertsi L. 17. Jantti T. 8. Klinga M. 20. Konkkola M. 3. Koskipalo D. 30. Munukka A. (G) 21. Sadik I.	47. Aijala E. 4. Baak F. 24. Banahene N. 17. Laine L. 16. Muzinga J. 12. Paunio R. (G) 9. Wurtz J.
Coaches
Mannila M.	Vasara V.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lahti won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Honka is a favorite.

Last 28 head-to-head matches Lahti won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 27-46.

Including matches at home between the teams Lahti won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lahti
Finnish Veikkausliiga
30.07.23	Haka - Lahti	1:1 ✺
23.07.23	Lahti - IFK Mariehamn	0:2 ✺
16.07.23	Lahti - SJK	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	HJK - Lahti	0:1 ✺
01.07.23	Lahti - KuPS Kuopio	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 TLTWL
- FC Honka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
30.07.23	Honka - Oulu	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.07.23	Honka - Tobol Kostanay	0:0 ✺
13.07.23	Tobol Kostanay - Honka	2:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
08.07.23	SJK - Honka	1:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
05.07.23	Salon Palloilijat - Honka	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
05.05.23	Honka - Lahti	3:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
28.01.23	Lahti - Honka	0:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga
15.07.22	Honka - Lahti	5:0
29.04.22	Lahti - Honka	0:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
12.02.22	Lahti - Honka	0:4
Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.10.21	Lahti - Honka	2:3
25.07.21	Honka - Lahti	1:1

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