Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 1

Date: 10 August 2024, Saturday


	Lancaster City		Basford United

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.7	3.5
	1.78	3.75	3.75
	1.81	3.82	3.67
	1.8	3.79	3.74
	1.73	3.7	3.6
	1.84	3.52	3.72
	1.78	3.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.97)	3.72 ↑ (3.5)	3.68 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lancaster City
50.8%

Draw
24.4%

Basford United
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

26.1%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lancaster City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Basford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Lancaster City - Basford United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Chambers A. ⚽,
19', Nirennold V. 🟥,
21', 1 - 1, Evangelinos N. (Pen),
42', 1 - 2, Hallam J. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 2 - 2, Bailey C. ⚽,
90+4', Preston K. 🟥,
90+5', 3 - 2, Mellen J. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lancaster won 2.

Lancaster will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Lancaster won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Lancaster won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lancaster City
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Witton Albion - Lancaster City	0:5 ✺
05.07.24	Lancaster City - Fylde	1:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
27.04.24	United of Manchester - Lancaster City	4:3 ✺
13.04.24	Warrington Rylands - Lancaster City	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Lancaster City - Gainsborough Trinity	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLWW
- Basford United
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Kettering Town - Basford United	1:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
27.04.24	Basford United - Bamber Bridge	4:0 ✺
20.04.24	Radcliffe - Basford United	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Basford United - Macclesfield Town	1:3 ✺
06.04.24	Bradford Park Avenue - Basford United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
02.03.24	Lancaster City - Basford United	1:0
31.10.23	Basford United - Lancaster City	1:0
11.12.21	Lancaster City - Basford United	1:0
11.09.21	Basford United - Lancaster City	1:0
26.09.20	Lancaster City - Basford United	1:2
24.08.19	Basford United - Lancaster City	4:1
06.10.18	Lancaster City - Basford United	1:1

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