Match Info

Superettan - Round 27

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Landskrona Idrottsplats (Landskrona)

Referee: Melin P. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 7, TV4 Play


	Landskrona		Umeå

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.1	4.5
	1.65	4.05	4.65
	1.66	4.05	5.05
	1.71	3.94	4.35	Watch
	1.66	4.11	4.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.61)	4.05 ↓ (4.13)	4.61 ↓ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Landskrona
56.4%

Draw
23.2%

Umeå
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

22.7%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

18.4%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Landskrona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Landskrona than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Landskrona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Landskrona - Umeå Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Landskrona will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Landskrona (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kaddoura A. (G) 18. Perez A. 4. Bruzelius G. 12. Jonsson M. (C) 16. Rahmani R. 5. Egnell A. 23. Nilsson M. 11. Bjorkqvist M. 10. Capotondi C. 21. Jensen K. 20. Odhiambo X.	1. Eriksson P. (G) 24. Marklund L. 5. Hedenquist J. 4. Ohman L. 15. Westin T. 19. Olsson T. 28. Persson D. 18. Yiriyon Yaw G. 6. Lindmark S. (C) 32. Voilas J. 10. Bjorgolfsson E.
Substitutes
17. Elezaj G. 14. Hebibovic E. 7. Karlsson V. 6. Nasstrom H. 19. Ozoemena C. 30. Pettersson M. (G) 3. Weststrom G.	14. Cederblad E. 26. Ekman D. 73. Forsman S. 23. Frigell Jansson L. 25. Gronborg T. 31. Uppenberg M. (G) 12. Yeboah E.
Coaches
Asterhed R.	Sjostrom J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Bjorgolfsson E. ⚽, Marklund L. (A),
23', Marklund L. ↓, Frigell Jansson L. ↑,
45', 1 - 1, Nilsson M. ⚽, Rahmani R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', Bjorkqvist M. 🟨,
56', Bjorgolfsson E. 🟨,
61', Odhiambo X. ↓, Hebibovic E. ↑,
62', Persson D. ↓, Cederblad E. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Bjorgolfsson E. ⚽, Lindmark S. (A),
68', Rahmani R. ↓, Karlsson V. ↑,
68', Jonsson M. ↓, Weststrom G. ↑,
85', Capotondi C. ↓, Nasstrom H. ↑,
90+2', Voilas J. ↓, Gronborg T. ↑,
90+2', Lindmark S. ↓, Yeboah E. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 3, Cederblad E. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Landskrona have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Umeå's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Umeå may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Landskrona is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Landskrona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Landskrona BoIS
Swedish Superettan
06.10.25	Landskrona - Varbergs BoIS	2:1 ✺
30.09.25	Örgryte - Landskrona	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Landskrona - Kalmar	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Utsikten - Landskrona	4:0 ✺
16.09.25	Helsingborg - Landskrona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLTLT
- Umeå FC
Swedish Superettan
04.10.25	Umeå - Helsingborg	1:0 ✺
29.09.25	Sundsvall - Umeå	3:1 ✺
25.09.25	Umeå - Västerås SK	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Östersund - Umeå	3:0 ✺
15.09.25	Örgryte - Umeå	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
03.05.25	Umeå - Landskrona	0:2

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