Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday


	Ferrol		Tondela

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.1	2.35
	2.96	3.2	2.27
	1.72	4.04	3.86	Watch
	2.93	3.24	2.4	Watch
	2.5	3.33	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.5)	3.38 ↑ (3.35)	2.66 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
36.4%

Draw
28%

Tondela
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

26.8%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

26.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Ferrol - Tondela Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Diaz L. (G) 4. Artetxe M. 21. Carballo D. 12. Chema 9. Escobar A. 24. Garcia A. 16. Garcia S. 6. Gelardo A. 2. Miguel 10. Pascu 14. Tejera S.	30. Canizares L. (G) 5. Afonso J. 97. Cicero 79. Felix H. 48. Manso T. 60. Maviram E. 70. Moudjatovic M. 11. Rodriguez Y. 3. Tavares D. 8. Tavares H. (C) 67. Yarlen

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Carballo D. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Felix H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 2 - 1, Garcia A. ⚽,
86', 2 - 2, Huarte X. ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ferrol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.10.25	Ferrol - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Ferrol - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Lugo - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Ferrol - Ponferradina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTLWW
- CD Tondela
Liga Portugal
05.10.25	Rio Ave - Tondela	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Santa Clara - Tondela	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Tondela - Estrela da Amadora	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	Alverca - Tondela	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Tondela - Estoril Praia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWTLT

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