Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Ferrol		Arenas Club de Getxo

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	6.25
	1.65	3.45	5.15
	1.54	3.88	6.24
	1.63	3.58	5.33
	1.65	3.45	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.7)	3.59 ↑ (3.35)	5.67 ↑ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
58%

Draw
25.7%

Arenas Club de Getxo
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

27.4%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

26.6%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Ferrol - Arenas Club de Getxo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parera P. M. (G) 2. Miguel 3. Pujol E. 16. Garcia S. 17. Ramon A. 18. Concha D. 6. Gelardo A. (C) 5. Noriega J. 14. Tejera S. 10. Pascu 9. Escobar A.	13. Pena A. (G) 21. Sillero J. (C) 4. Alvarez P. 19. Mutilva C. 5. Garcia P. 22. Mattheus C. 24. Boriko S. 16. Verde A. 15. Diocou B. 17. Rodriguez J. L. 12. Lartitegi J.
Substitutes
7. Alvaro J. 4. Artetxe M. 21. Carballo D. 12. Chema 11. Dacosta R. 25. Diaz L. (G) 13. Fernandez C. G. (G) 24. Garcia A. 20. Gimenez A. 8. Gorostidi A. 22. Mardones A. 23. Pena A.	7. Collado U. 1. Gastesi O. (G) 3. Herranz Jimenez G. 18. Honrado A. 14. Messina F. 23. Sustatxa A. 11. Troncho A. 9. Vazquez A. 20. Zabaleta E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Pascu ⚽,
5', 2 - 0, Pascu ⚽,
19', 3 - 0, Ramon A. ⚽,
21', Boriko S. ↓, Collado U. ↑,
21', Rodriguez J. L. ↓, Sustatxa A. ↑,
45+1', Diocou B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lartitegi J. ↓, Troncho A. ↑,
50', Tejera S. 🟨,
52', 🟨,
55', Tejera S. ↓, Gorostidi A. ↑,
58', Garcia P. 🟥,
61', 🟨,
69', Herranz Jimenez G. 🟨,
73', Mattheus C. ↓, Vazquez A. ↑,
77', Concha D. ↓, Dacosta R. ↑,
77', Noriega J. ↓, Pena A. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Sustatxa A. ⚽,
90+1', Mutilva C. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 15).

Ferrol has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arenas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Arenas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ferrol is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.10.25	Osasuna B - Ferrol	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
08.10.25	Ferrol - Tondela	2:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.10.25	Ferrol - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Ferrol - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Lugo - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTTTL
- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.10.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Lugo	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Mérida AD - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Celta de Vigo B - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Barakaldo - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLWLL

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