Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Tajonar Facilities Stadium (Pamplona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Osasuna B		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.88	2.35
	3.3	3	2.18
	3.05	3.06	2.44
	2.95	2.88	2.57	Watch
	3.37	3.02	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.96)	2.97 ↑ (2.94)	2.35 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasuna B
29.7%

Draw
31.1%

Ferrol
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

31%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

31.1%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasuna B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Osasuna B - Ferrol Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Osasuna B (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Osasuna B (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Osasuna B (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Osasuna B (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Osasuna B (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stamatakis D. (G) 2. Arguibide I. 3. Jimenez A. 6. Echegoyen M. 22. Larrion A. 14. Garcia J. 16. Auria M. 17. Arroyo R. 24. Osambela A. 8. Yoldi A. 9. Gonzalez D.	1. Parera P. M. (G) 2. Miguel 4. Artetxe M. 15. Zalaya A. 17. Ramon A. 8. Gorostidi A. 14. Tejera S. 18. Concha D. 5. Noriega J. 10. Pascu 9. Escobar A.
Substitutes
29. Alonso A. 30. Anso M. 34. Arrasate I. 19. Bonel A. 26. Garin X. 7. Lumbreras C. 11. Pedroarena M. 20. Perez B. 13. Rafa (G) 5. Santos U.	7. Alvaro J. 21. Carballo D. 11. Dacosta R. 25. Diaz L. (G) 13. Fernandez C. G. (G) 24. Garcia A. 16. Garcia S. 6. Gelardo A. 20. Gimenez A. 22. Mardones A. 23. Pena A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Zalaya A. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
29', 1 - 0, Osambela A. ⚽,
45+3', Concha D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Concha D. ↓, Gelardo A. ↑,
46', Gorostidi A. ↓, Alvaro J. ↑,
46', Miguel 🟨,
56', 🟨,
58', 🟨,
62', Auria M. ↓, Lumbreras C. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Escobar A. ⚽,
76', 1 - 2, Gimenez A. ⚽,
86', 🟥,
89', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Ferrol will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Osasuna B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Osasuna B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Ferrol - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.19%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasuna B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.10.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Osasuna B	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Osasuna B - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Osasuna B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Real Avilés - Osasuna B	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Osasuna B - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTWLT
- Racing Club Ferrol
Club Friendly
08.10.25	Ferrol - Tondela	2:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.10.25	Ferrol - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Ferrol - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Lugo - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.03.17	Ferrol - Osasuna B	1:0
02.11.16	Osasuna B - Ferrol	1:2

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