Match Info

CHINA: FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday

Location: Rizhao International Football Centre Stadium (Rizhao)


	Lanzhou Longyuan		Ningbo Professional

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.6	2.75	2.65
	2.61	2.84	2.71
	2.61	2.84	2.71
	2.6	2.8	2.7
	2.64	2.88	2.78	Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (3.47)	2.89 ↓ (3.4)	2.68 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanzhou Longyuan
34.8%

Draw
31.4%

Ningbo Professional
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

26.7%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

26%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanzhou Longyuan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lanzhou Longyuan's performance.

Ningbo Professional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ningbo Professional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanzhou Longyuan than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lanzhou Longyuan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ningbo Professional than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ningbo Professional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lanzhou Longyuan - Ningbo Professional Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Ying Yuxiao ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 2 - 0, Pan Yuchen ⚽,

Preview

Rizhao Yuqi is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Shanghai Jiading Huilong is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shanghai Jiading Huilong will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lanzhou Longyuan
Chinese Yi League
11.05.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Shaanxi Union	0:1 ✺
05.05.24	Hubei Istar - Lanzhou Longyuan	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	1:1 ✺
15.04.24	Dalian Kun City - Lanzhou Longyuan	0:1 ✺
10.04.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Taian Tiankuang	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLTWL
- Ningbo Professional
Chinese Jia League
12.05.24	Wuxi Wugou - Ningbo Professional	0:1 ✺
05.05.24	Ningbo Professional - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Ningbo Professional	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Ningbo Professional - Qingdao Red Lions	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Ningbo Professional	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTTTL

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