Match Info

Copa Colombia - Second stage - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Cota (Cota)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Fanatiz


	Fortaleza CEIF		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	2.9	3	2.6	Watch
	2.55	2.9	2.6
	2.82	2.92	2.42	Watch
	2.94	3	2.47
	4.36	2.71	2.10	Watch
	2.8	2.8	2.5
	2.88	2.9	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.81)	2.89 ↑ (2.79)	2.46 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza CEIF
30.4%

Draw
32%

Independiente Medellín
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

32.7%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

32.5%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Ind Medellín (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 25%). Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Santander C. (G) 11. Amaya A. 25. Barrera J. 29. Cordoba S. 15. Cuero S. 6. Diaz Y. 23. Escorcia L. 2. Lasso M. 27. Mosquera C. 22. Palacios S. 21. Ramiirez S.	25. Chaux E. (G) 15. Alvarado J. 7. Berrio L. 2. Chaverra L. 8. Garcia M. 33. Londono D. 24. Ortiz J. 3. Palacios J. 14. Perlaza B. 9. Sandoval L. 11. Valencia J.
Substitutes
19. Aristizabal E. 17. Balanta Carabali K. A. 18. Balanta J. 5. Cabezas E. 1. Garcia Jordan (G) 35. Martinez J. 8. Ricaurte A. 24. Salas J. 20. Valencia S.	10. Barrera J. 34. Blanco I. (G) 13. Chaverra F. 19. Fydriszewski F. 27. Leon B. 16. Loboa H. 26. Mena Perea E. 80. Serna A. 23. Torijano F.
Coaches
Oliveros S.	Restrepo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Palacios J. 🟨,
18', Lasso M. 🟨,
37', Cuero S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Chaverra L. ↓, Mena Perea E. ↑,
59', Escorcia L. 🟥,
67', Cordoba S. ↓, Aristizabal E. ↑,
67', Palacios S. ↓, Valencia S. ↑,
67', Lasso M. ↓, Balanta J. ↑,
67', Berrio L. ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
67', Garcia M. ↓, Leon B. ↑,
75', Amaya A. ↓, Salas J. ↑,
76', Barrera J. ↓, Balanta Carabali K. A. ↑,
76', Sandoval L. ↓, Fydriszewski F. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent performances by Fortaleza have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ind Medellín is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A
23.08.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Atlético Nacional - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2 ✺
10.08.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Pereira	0:0 ✺
03.08.25	Rionegro Águilas - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2 ✺
27.07.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WTTTT
- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
23.08.25	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo La Equidad	3:1 ✺
18.08.25	Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellín	1:2 ✺
10.08.25	Llaneros SA - Independiente Medellín	0:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
07.08.25	Jaguares de Córdoba - Independiente Medellín	0:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
03.08.25	Independiente Medellín - Millonarios	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
27.04.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Medellín	0:0
26.08.24	Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Medellín	2:2
17.02.24	Independiente Medellín - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2

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