Match Info
Date: 13 October 2022, ThursdayLocation: Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez (Lanús)Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)
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 |
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 |
|
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Lanús |
|
Patronato Parana |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.25 |
3.25 |
3.4 |
 Watch |
 |
2.2 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
|
 |
2.25 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
|
 |
2.23 |
3.25 |
3.1 |
|
 |
2.28 |
3.33 |
3.38 |
|
 |
2.24 |
3.26 |
3.25 |
Watch |
 |
2.21 |
3.25 |
3.05 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(2.27) |
3.28 ↑
(3) |
3.23 ↓
(3.4) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lanús
42.1% | Draw
28.7% | Patronato Parana
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-2%)Lanús - Patronato Parana Predictions
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 23 - 74.2%). Patronato will win (votes: 2 - 6.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 19.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 58.8% – 89.6%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Preview
Lanús has the most likely position - 27 (61.5%), has project points - 24, has currently - 20, has not chance of win league.Patronato has the most likely position - 14 (10.42%), has project points - 35, has currently - 31, has not chance of win league.This event has quality 35, very small importance 0, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)Last 5 head-to-head matches Lanús won 1. Two teams are playing changeable. Patronato could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. Lanús will have a poor advantage in this game.There will not play in Lanús: Aguilar F.
(Injury)
Aguirre B.
(Injury)
Braghieri D.
(Injury)
De Amores G.
(Injury)There will not play in Patronato: Alvarez F.
(Injury)
Vazquez F.
(Injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Lanús won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-12. Including matches at home between the teams Lanús won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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