Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata)

Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN, ESPN Premium
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Estudiantes La Plata		Lanús

	1	X	2
	2.01	3	4.33	Watch
	2.05	2.92	4.2
	2.09	2.99	4.52
	2.07	2.92	4.4	Watch
	2	2.8	4.2
	2.07	3.03	4.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.11)	2.94 ↓ (3.03)	4.34 ↑ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata
46.1%

Draw
32.1%

Lanús
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

30.5%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

30.2%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	44.4%	11.1%

Estudiantes La Plata - Lanús Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Lanús will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Estudiantes (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Muslera F. (G) 40. Mancuso E. 4. Nunez S. 24. Palacios T. 13. Benedetti G. 32. Amondarain M. 21. Piovi L. 17. Burgos J. 10. Palacios T. 18. Cetre E. 9. Carrillo G. (C)	26. Losada N. (G) 33. Guidara T. 24. Izquierdoz C. (C) 13. Canale Dominguez J. 6. Marcich S. 5. Pena Biafore F. 30. Cardozo A. 11. Salvio E. 20. Cabrera B. 23. Carrera R. 9. Bou W.
Substitutes
28. Aguirre B. 38. Basualdo F. 22. Castro A. 39. Cornejo L. 11. Farias F. 26. Funes Mori R. 8. Gabriel Neves 19. Gaich A. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 36. Pereyra J. 29. Perez Fabricio 35. Pierani V.	38. Acosta B. 25. Aquino D. 77. Besozzi L. 35. De Jesus R. 37. De Martis T. 17. Medina A. 3. Morgantini N. 4. Perez G. 1. Petroli F. (G) 2. Romero L. 27. Sanchez F. 8. Watson F. N.
Coaches
Medina A.	Pellegrino M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Izquierdoz C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Nunez S. 🟨,
64', Burgos J. ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
67', Bou W. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
71', Cabrera B. 🟨,
75', 0 - 1, Aquino D. ⚽, Salvio E. (A),
78', Cabrera B. ↓, De Martis T. ↑,
78', Carrera R. ↓, Watson F. N. ↑,
80', Amondarain M. ↓, Gabriel Neves ↑,
80', Palacios T. ↓, Gaich A. ↑,
88', Pena Biafore F. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
88', Salvio E. ↓, De Jesus R. ↑,
89', Mancuso E. 🟨,
89', Piovi L. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
90+2', Gaich A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 2.

Estudiantes is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lanús has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lanús may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Estudiantes is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S. (Knee Injury) Castro A. (Inactive) Gabriel Neves (Injury) Sosa J. (Injury)

There will not play in Lanús: Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Marcelino Moreno (Inactive)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Estudiantes La Plata - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.78%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.03.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Vélez Sársfield	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	Newells Old Boys - Estudiantes La Plata	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0 ✺
09.02.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWTW
- CA Lanús
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.03.26	Lanús - Boca Juniors	0:3 ✺
01.03.26	Defensa y Justicia - Lanús	1:1 ✺
Recopa Sudamericana
26.02.26	Flamengo - Lanús	2:3 ET ✺
19.02.26	Lanús - Flamengo	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.02.26	Independiente - Lanús	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.05.24	Lanús - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.04.24	Lanús - Estudiantes La Plata	1:2
27.11.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Lanús	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.02.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Lanús	0:2
10.10.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Lanús	3:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
19.02.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Lanús	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.11.21	Lanús - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1

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