Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Inver Park (Larne)

Referee: Gidzhenov R. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
United-kingdom	Nifl TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Larne		Lincoln Red Imps

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.25
	1.98	3.25	3.50
	2.05	3.1	3.55	Watch
	2.04	3.5	3.57
	2	3.56	3.68	Watch
	2.09	3.15	3.5
	1.97	3.63	3.71	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (2)	3.37 ↓ (3.59)	3.53 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Larne
46%

Draw
27.6%

Lincoln Red Imps
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.3%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

22.7%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Lincoln Red Imps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Larne than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Larne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln Red Imps than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	11.8%	5.9%

Larne - Lincoln Red Imps Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Larne will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferguson R. (G) 23. Cosgrove T. (C) 26. Bent D. 3. Ridley M. 4. Donnelly A. 15. Doherty R. 6. Gallagher C. 47. Simpson J. 25. Sloan D. 9. O'Neill P. 30. Lusty M.	1. Nauzet Santana (G) 9. Gomez K. 21. Nano 8. Mandi 66. Eersteling J. 17. Coulibaly A. 3. Rutjens C. 6. Lopes B. (C) 22. Torrilla G. 44. Toledano M. 10. Mula A.
Substitutes
16. Carney J. (G) 45. Gibson M. 14. Magee B. 22. McEneff J. 7. McKendry C. 19. O'Hara K. 8. Randall M. 17. Ukek J. 2. Wallace L.	32. Alvarez F. 20. Britto E. 5. Cardozo T. 7. Casciaro L. 27. Hamm M. (G) 13. Hankins J. (G) 23. Joe 4. Pinto N. 11. Romero Morillo A.
Coaches
Haveron G.	Pavon

Preview

First leg result: 2-0.

In recent matches, Larne has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lincoln Red Imps is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Larne has had a series of away games.

Larne is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Larne won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Larne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Lincoln Red Imps: 0.08%

Last Results with these Odds

Larne - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 47.09%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Larne FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Lincoln Red Imps - Larne	0:2 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
15.08.26	Coleraine - Larne	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.08.26	Iberia 1999 - Larne	2:1 AET ✺
04.08.26	Larne - Iberia 1999	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.07.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Larne	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTLTL
- Lincoln Red Imps FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Lincoln Red Imps - Larne	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.08.26	Omonia - Lincoln Red Imps	1:0 ✺
06.08.26	Lincoln Red Imps - Omonia	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.07.26	Lincoln Red Imps - Mjällby	0:0 ✺
21.07.26	Mjällby - Lincoln Red Imps	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Lincoln Red Imps - Larne	0:2
29.08.24	Larne - Lincoln Red Imps	3:1
22.08.24	Lincoln Red Imps - Larne	2:1

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