Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 19

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas)

Referee: Alberola J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
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Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
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Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
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Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar, Movistar Plus+ 1
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Taiwan	DAZN
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Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
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Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia, SportsMax App


	Las Palmas		Getafe

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.75	3.5	Watch
	2.5	2.7	3.5
	2.55	2.85	3.4	Watch
	2.47	3.05	3.35
	2.5	2.8	3.59	Watch
	2.5	2.75	3.4
	2.58	2.89	3.55	Watch
	2.55	2.85	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.48)	2.83 ↓ (3.07)	3.46 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
38.3%

Draw
34%

Getafe
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

31.2%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

28.6%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Getafe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Getafe than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.4%	30.8%	13.8%

Las Palmas - Getafe Predictions

Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 36 - 56.3%). Getafe will win (votes: 8 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 44.1% – 68.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cillessen J. (G) 2. Marvin 4. Alex Suarez 15. McKenna S. 3. Marmol M. 5. Javier Munoz 29. Essugo D. 20. Rodriguez K. 10. Moleiro A. 37. Silva F. 19. Ramirez S.	13. Soria D. (G) 21. Iglesias J. 22. Duarte D. 15. Alderete O. 2. Djene 11. Alena C. 5. Milla L. 8. Arambarri M. 29. Gomez da Costa C. 6. Uche C. 10. Yildirim B.
Substitutes
9. Cardona M. 14. Fuster M. 28. Herzog J. 13. Horkas D. (G) 24. Januzaj A. 12. Loiodice E. 17. Mata J. 16. McBurnie O. 23. Munoz A. 11. Ramirez B. 33. Viera Garcia S.	34. Arguelles D. 28. Bekhoucha I. 42. Benito J. (G) 38. Cuellar M. 1. Letacek J. (G) 37. Lohr L. 9. Mayoral B. 31. Patrick J. 17. Perez C. 19. Peter Federico 18. Rodriguez A. 7. Sola A.
Coaches
Martinez D.	Bordalas Jimenez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Arambarri M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Herzog J. ↓, Fuster M. ↑,
47', Essugo D. 🟨,
56', Silva F. (Pen),
63', Alena C. ↓, Peter Federico ↑,
63', Yildirim B. ↓, Mayoral B. ↑,
65', Milla L. 🟨,
71', 0 - 1, Gomez da Costa C. ⚽, Uche C. (A),
80', Silva F. ↓, Cardona M. ↑,
80', Essugo D. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
80', Ramirez S. ↓, Loiodice E. ↑,
82', Gomez da Costa C. 🟨,
83', Alex Suarez 🟨,
86', 0 - 2, Mayoral B. ⚽, Gomez da Costa C. (A),
87', Javier Munoz ↓, Januzaj A. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Januzaj A. ⚽,
90', Gomez da Costa C. ↓, Sola A. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 2.

Las Palmas is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Getafe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Las Palmas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Las Palmas will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Las Palmas: Campana J. (Muscle Injury) Viti (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Getafe: Nyom A. (Injury) Rico D. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Las Palmas: Essugo D. (Muscle Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:10 (average 1.5:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Las Palmas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:1 (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.25	Elche - Las Palmas	4:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
22.12.24	Las Palmas - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Real Sociedad - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
07.12.24	Las Palmas - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.24	CE Europa - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWTWW
- Getafe CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.01.25	Granada - Getafe	0:1 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga
21.12.24	Getafe - Mallorca	0:1 ✺
15.12.24	Atlético Madrid - Getafe	1:0 ✺
09.12.24	Getafe - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	Orihuela - Getafe	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
02.03.24	Getafe - Las Palmas	3:3
01.12.23	Las Palmas - Getafe	2:0
06.05.18	Las Palmas - Getafe	0:1
20.12.17	Getafe - Las Palmas	2:0
01.03.16	Las Palmas - Getafe	4:0
18.10.15	Getafe - Las Palmas	4:0

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