Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche)

Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hungary	Sport 1
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	Shabake 3
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Portugal	Sport TV4
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	M+ Copa Del Rey, Movistar Plus+ 1
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+


	Elche		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3.25
	2.25	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.18	3.23	3.36	Watch
	2.25	3	3.25	Watch
	2.26	3.22	3.38	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.36)	3.21 ↑ (3.17)	3.33 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche
42.3%

Draw
29.4%

Las Palmas
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

29.7%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

28.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Elche - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. San Roman M. (C) 4. Diaby B. 22. Affengruber D. 12. Salinas J. 15. Nunez A. 14. Febas A. 21. Castro N. 24. Santiago Y. 10. Mercau N. 9. Alvarez A. 30. Mendoza R.	13. Horkas D. (G) 2. Marvin 28. Herzog J. 15. McKenna S. 23. Munoz A. 12. Loiodice E. (C) 8. Campana J. 24. Januzaj A. 14. Fuster M. 5. Javier Munoz 37. Silva F.
Substitutes
6. Bigas P. 13. Dituro M. (G) 5. Donald J. 19. El Ghezouani M. 8. Guti R. 31. Hernandez G. 17. Josan 18. Kaba S. 2. Mario Gaspar 11. Rashani E.	4. Alex Suarez 9. Cardona M. 1. Cillessen J. (G) 3. Marmol M. 17. Mata J. 10. Moleiro A. 35. Mora I. (G) 27. Pezzolesi V. 11. Ramirez B. 20. Rodriguez K. 33. Viera Garcia S.
Coaches
Sarabia E.	Martinez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Febas A. 🟨,
28', Campana J. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
37', Mendoza R. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Mendoza R. ⚽, Castro N. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Loiodice E. ↓, Marmol M. ↑,
46', Januzaj A. ↓, Moleiro A. ↑,
51', Salinas J. 🟨,
55', Marvin 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Affengruber D. ⚽, Mercau N. (A),
61', 3 - 0, Salinas J. ⚽,
63', Santiago Y. ↓, Bigas P. ↑,
65', Bigas P. 🟨,
68', Munoz A. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
71', 4 - 0, Mercau N. ⚽, Castro N. (A),
74', Mendoza R. ↓, El Ghezouani M. ↑,
74', Febas A. ↓, Donald J. ↑,
76', Silva F. ↓, Cardona M. ↑,
81', Mercau N. ↓, Guti R. ↑,
81', Salinas J. ↓, Mario Gaspar ↑,
90+3', Guti R. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elche won 1.

During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Elche won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Elche won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
22.12.24	Castellón - Elche	0:2 ✺
19.12.24	Elche - Racing Santander	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Eldense - Elche	0:0 ✺
07.12.24	Elche - Cádiz	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Elche	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWTWW
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga
22.12.24	Las Palmas - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Real Sociedad - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
07.12.24	Las Palmas - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.24	CE Europa - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.24	Barcelona - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 39 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
27.06.20	Las Palmas - Elche	1:1
15.12.19	Elche - Las Palmas	2:3
31.03.19	Las Palmas - Elche	0:1
10.11.18	Elche - Las Palmas	0:0
02.02.13	Las Palmas - Elche	0:0
01.09.12	Elche - Las Palmas	3:1
23.05.12	Elche - Las Palmas	1:2

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