Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	08:00	DirecTV Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	12:00	Moja TV
Brazil	08:00	Disney+
Chile	08:00	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	12:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	12:00	Sport 1
Finland	13:00	Veikkaus TV
Hungary	12:00	Sport 1
India	16:30	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Iran	14:30	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	11:00	Shabake 3
Mexico	05:00	Sky Sport
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	06:00	DirecTV Sports
Portugal	11:00	Sport TV4
Russia	14:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	14:00	Shahid VIP
Serbia	12:00	Arena Premium 2
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	12:00	M+ Copa Del Rey, Movistar Plus+ 1
Turkey	14:00	Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	13:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1
Uruguay	08:00	DirecTV Sports
Usa	06:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	07:00	DirecTV Sports, Inter
International	11:00	DirecTV Sports, Disney+


	Elche		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3.25
	2.25	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.18	3.23	3.36	Watch
	2.25	3	3.25	Watch
	2.26	3.22	3.38	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.36)	3.21 ↑ (3.17)	3.33 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche
42.3%

Draw
29.4%

Las Palmas
28.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.8%

29.7%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

28.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Elche - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. San Roman M. (C) 4. Diaby B. 22. Affengruber D. 12. Salinas J. 15. Nunez A. 14. Febas A. 21. Castro N. 24. Santiago Y. 10. Mercau N. 9. Alvarez A. 30. Mendoza R.	13. Horkas D. (G) 2. Marvin 28. Herzog J. 15. McKenna S. 23. Munoz A. 12. Loiodice E. (C) 8. Campana J. 24. Januzaj A. 14. Fuster M. 5. Javier Munoz 37. Silva F.
Substitutes
6. Bigas P. 13. Dituro M. (G) 5. Donald J. 19. El Ghezouani M. 8. Guti R. 31. Hernandez G. 17. Josan 18. Kaba S. 2. Mario Gaspar 11. Rashani E.	4. Alex Suarez 9. Cardona M. 1. Cillessen J. (G) 3. Marmol M. 17. Mata J. 10. Moleiro A. 35. Mora I. (G) 27. Pezzolesi V. 11. Ramirez B. 20. Rodriguez K. 33. Viera Garcia S.
Coaches
Sarabia E.	Martinez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Febas A. 🟨,
28', Campana J. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
37', Mendoza R. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Mendoza R. ⚽, Castro N. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Loiodice E. ↓, Marmol M. ↑,
46', Januzaj A. ↓, Moleiro A. ↑,
51', Salinas J. 🟨,
55', Marvin 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Affengruber D. ⚽, Mercau N. (A),
61', 3 - 0, Salinas J. ⚽,
63', Santiago Y. ↓, Bigas P. ↑,
65', Bigas P. 🟨,
68', Munoz A. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
71', 4 - 0, Mercau N. ⚽, Castro N. (A),
74', Mendoza R. ↓, El Ghezouani M. ↑,
74', Febas A. ↓, Donald J. ↑,
76', Silva F. ↓, Cardona M. ↑,
81', Mercau N. ↓, Guti R. ↑,
81', Salinas J. ↓, Mario Gaspar ↑,
90+3', Guti R. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elche won 1.

During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Elche won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Elche won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
22.12.24	Castellón - Elche	0:2 ✺
19.12.24	Elche - Racing Santander	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Eldense - Elche	0:0 ✺
07.12.24	Elche - Cádiz	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Elche	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWTWW
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga
22.12.24	Las Palmas - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Real Sociedad - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
07.12.24	Las Palmas - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.24	CE Europa - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.24	Barcelona - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 39 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
27.06.20	Las Palmas - Elche	1:1
15.12.19	Elche - Las Palmas	2:3
31.03.19	Las Palmas - Elche	0:1
10.11.18	Elche - Las Palmas	0:0
02.02.13	Las Palmas - Elche	0:0
01.09.12	Elche - Las Palmas	3:1
23.05.12	Elche - Las Palmas	1:2

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