Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 17

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Reale Arena (San Sebastian) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Melero M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Armenia	21:30	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Australia	04:30	beIN Connect
Austria	18:30	DAZN
Belgium	18:30	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:30	Moja TV
Brazil	14:30	Disney+
Canada	12:30	TSN+
China	01:30	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	18:30	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	18:30	TV2 Play
Finland	19:30	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	18:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Georgia	21:30	Silk Sport 3
Germany	18:30	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	19:30	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	01:30	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 3
India	23:00	GXR World
Indonesia	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	19:30	ONE Sport
Italy	18:30	DAZN Italia
Japan	02:30	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Laos	00:30	beIN Connect
Macao	01:30	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	01:30	beIN Connect
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	11:30	Sky Sport
Mozambique	19:30	TV Miramar
New Zealand	06:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	18:30	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Pakistan	22:30	ARY ZAP
Philippines	01:30	beIN Connect
Poland	18:30	Canal+ Sport Online, CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	17:30	DAZN 4
Russia	20:30	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
South Africa	19:30	SuperSport PSL
South Korea	02:30	Coupang Play
Spain	18:30	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	18:30	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	18:30	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
Taiwan	01:30	DAZN
Thailand	00:30	beIN Connect
Turkey	20:30	S Sport+
Ukraine	19:30	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United Kingdom	17:30	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Usa	12:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	00:30	SCTV 22, SCTV Online
International	17:30	Disney+


	Real Sociedad		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	9	Watch
	1.38	4.5	9.5
	1.38	4.75	10
	1.38	4.71	10.13
	1.41	4.48	9.65	Watch
	1.36	4.4	10
	1.42	4.84	9.55	Watch
	1.38	4.75	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.48)	4.65 ↑ (4.01)	9.73 ↑ (8.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
69.4%

Draw
20.7%

Las Palmas
9.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.7%

23.8%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

23.1%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	28.6%	7.1%

Real Sociedad - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 27 - 64.3%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 3 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 49.8% – 78.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Remiro A. (G) 27. Aramburu J. 5. Zubeldia I. 21. Aguerd N. 12. Lopez J. 4. Zubimendi M. 14. Kubo T. 23. Mendez B. 24. Sucic L. 17. Gomez S. 10. Oyarzabal M.	1. Cillessen J. (G) 5. Javier Munoz 28. Herzog J. 15. McKenna S. 3. Marmol M. 8. Campana J. 20. Rodriguez K. (C) 29. Essugo D. 19. Ramirez S. 17. Mata J. 10. Moleiro A.
Substitutes
7. Barrenetxea A. 11. Becker S. 25. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 28. Marin P. 13. Marrero U. (G) 31. Martin J. 3. Munoz A. 2. Odriozola A. 16. Olasagasti J. A. 9. Oskarsson O. 19. Sadiq U. 22. Turrientes B.	9. Cardona M. 14. Fuster M. 21. Gil I. 6. Gonzalez F. 13. Horkas D. (G) 24. Januzaj A. 12. Loiodice E. 2. Marvin 16. McBurnie O. 23. Munoz A. 7. Pejino 11. Ramirez B.
Coaches
Alguacil I.	Martinez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Kubo T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Mata J. 🟨,
60', Moleiro A. ↓, Marvin ↑,
67', Mendez B. ↓, Olasagasti J. A. ↑,
67', Kubo T. ↓, Barrenetxea A. ↑,
72', Mata J. ↓, McBurnie O. ↑,
72', Campana J. ↓, Ramirez B. ↑,
73', Barrenetxea A. 🟨,
74', Ramirez S. 🟨,
85', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Oskarsson O. ↑,
85', Lopez J. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
85', Javier Munoz ↓, Loiodice E. ↑,
85', Ramirez S. ↓, Fuster M. ↑,
90+1', Ramirez B. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 3.

Real Sociedad in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Las Palmas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Las Palmas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Sociedad is certain favorite.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Traore H. (Knee Injury) Zakharyan A. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Las Palmas: Alex Suarez (Yellow Cards) Januzaj A. (Ankle Injury) Silva F. (Yellow Cards) Viti (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Barrenetxea A. (Injury) Elustondo A. (Ankle Injury) Pacheco J. (Injury) Zubimendi M. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Las Palmas: Sinkgraven D. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Real Sociedad to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.2:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Sociedad won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
UEFA Europa League
12.12.24	Real Sociedad - Dynamo Kyiv	3:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
08.12.24	Leganés - Real Sociedad	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	Conquense - Real Sociedad	0:1 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga
01.12.24	Real Sociedad - Betis	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Real Sociedad - Ajax	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWW
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga
07.12.24	Las Palmas - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.24	CE Europa - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.24	Barcelona - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
23.11.24	Las Palmas - Mallorca	2:3 ✺
08.11.24	Rayo Vallecano - Las Palmas	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
04.05.24	Real Sociedad - Las Palmas	2:0
25.08.23	Las Palmas - Real Sociedad	0:0
14.04.18	Las Palmas - Real Sociedad	0:1
26.11.17	Real Sociedad - Las Palmas	2:2
24.02.17	Las Palmas - Real Sociedad	0:1
21.09.16	Real Sociedad - Las Palmas	4:1
19.03.16	Real Sociedad - Las Palmas	0:1

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