Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 18

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Soto C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Argentina	14:30	DirecTV Sports
Armenia	21:30	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	04:30	beIN Connect
Austria	18:30	DAZN
Belgium	18:30	DAZN 1
Brazil	14:30	Disney+
Canada	12:30	TSN+
Chile	14:30	DirecTV Sports
China	01:30	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	18:30	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	18:30	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	18:30	TV2 Play
Finland	19:30	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	18:30	beIN Connect
Germany	18:30	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	19:30	Nova Sports Start
Hong Kong	01:30	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 3
India	23:00	GXR World
Indonesia	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, RCTI+, Vidio
Italy	18:30	DAZN Italia
Japan	02:30	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Laos	00:30	beIN Connect
Macao	01:30	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	01:30	beIN Connect
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	11:30	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New Zealand	06:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	18:30	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Pakistan	22:30	ARY ZAP
Peru	12:30	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	01:30	beIN Connect
Poland	18:30	Canal+ Sport Online, CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	17:30	DAZN 3
Romania	19:30	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	20:30	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:30	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	18:30	Voyo
South Africa	19:30	SuperSport PSL
South America	—	DGO Latin America
South Korea	02:30	Coupang Play
Spain	18:30	3Cat, Gol Play, Gol Stadium, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV, TV3, TV Canaria
Sweden	18:30	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4
Switzerland	18:30	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	01:30	DAZN
Tanzania	20:30	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Turkey	20:30	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	19:30	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
United Kingdom	17:30	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	14:30	DirecTV Sports
Usa	12:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	13:30	DirecTV Sports, Inter
Vietnam	00:30	SCTV Online
International	17:30	DirecTV Sports, Disney+


	Las Palmas		Espanyol

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.7	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.7
	2.15	3.25	3.75	Watch
	2.12	3.35	3.9
	2.07	3.37	3.93	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.6
	2.12	3.54	3.83	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.73)	3.34 ↓ (3.82)	3.77 ↓ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
45.8%

Draw
28.7%

Espanyol
25.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.4%

25.1%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

24.7%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Las Palmas's form might have worsened.

Espanyol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Espanyol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Palmas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Espanyol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.1%	10.9%	10.9%

Las Palmas - Espanyol Predictions

Users Predictions: Las Palmas will win (50 of 64 users predict this - 78.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68% – 88.26%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cillessen J. (G) 2. Marvin 4. Alex Suarez 15. McKenna S. 3. Marmol M. 5. Javier Munoz 20. Rodriguez K. (C) 8. Campana J. 29. Essugo D. 19. Ramirez S. 37. Silva F.	1. Garcia J. (G) 23. El Hilali O. 4. Kumbulla M. 6. Cabrera L. 14. Olivan B. 12. Tejero A. 10. Lozano P. 20. Kral A. 31. Roca A. 16. Cheddira W. 7. Puado J.
Substitutes
9. Cardona M. 14. Fuster M. 6. Gonzalez F. 28. Herzog J. 13. Horkas D. (G) 24. Januzaj A. 12. Loiodice E. 17. Mata J. 16. McBurnie O. 10. Moleiro A. 23. Munoz A. 11. Ramirez B.	18. Aguado A. 5. Calero F. 24. Cardona I. 8. Exposito 33. Fortuno A. (G) 3. Gomez S. 17. Jofre 11. Milla P. 13. Pacheco F. (G) 22. Romero C. 40. Smith J. 9. Veliz A.
Coaches
Martinez D.	Gonzalez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Silva F. 🟨,
18', Puado J. 🟨,
30', Marvin 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Marvin ↓, Fuster M. ↑,
46', Essugo D. ↓, Januzaj A. ↑,
59', Alex Suarez 🟨,
67', 1 - 0, Ramirez S. ⚽,
69', Roca A. ↓, Jofre ↑,
69', Cheddira W. ↓, Veliz A. ↑,
75', Tejero A. ↓, Exposito ↑,
78', Campana J. ↓, Loiodice E. ↑,
80', Loiodice E. 🟨,
81', Silva F. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
85', Lozano P. ↓, Romero C. ↑,
85', Rodriguez K. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 2.

Las Palmas is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Espanyol is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Las Palmas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Las Palmas is a favorite.

There will not play in Las Palmas: Viti (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Espanyol: Catala J. (Knee Injury) Gragera J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Las Palmas: Moleiro A. (Muscle Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Las Palmas won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.5:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga
15.12.24	Real Sociedad - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
07.12.24	Las Palmas - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.24	CE Europa - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.24	Barcelona - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
23.11.24	Las Palmas - Mallorca	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.3 TWWWL
- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga
18.12.24	Espanyol - Valencia	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Espanyol - Osasuna	0:0 ✺
09.12.24	Getafe - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.24	Barbastro - Espanyol	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.24	Espanyol - Celta de Vigo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.07.23	Las Palmas - Espanyol	1:2
22.07.22	Espanyol - Las Palmas	0:0
21.07.21	Las Palmas - Espanyol	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
24.04.21	Espanyol - Las Palmas	4:0
03.01.21	Las Palmas - Espanyol	1:0
Spanish LaLiga
28.04.18	Espanyol - Las Palmas	1:1
17.12.17	Las Palmas - Espanyol	2:2

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