Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 40

Date: 14 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas)

Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)


	Las Palmas		Villarreal B

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.2	7	Watch
	1.47	4	6
	1.47	4.1	7
	1.5	4.21	7.39
	1.48	4.3	6.7	Watch
	1.46	4.2	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.78)	4.17 ↑ (3.25)	6.78 ↑ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
63.7%

Draw
22.5%

Villarreal B
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

28.7%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

21.8%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Las Palmas's performance.

Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villarreal B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-24%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Las Palmas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villarreal B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	20%	5%

Las Palmas - Villarreal B Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Villarreal B will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 56% – 94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 16).

Las Palmas has the most likely position - 1 (32.46%), project points - 72, currently - 67, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (46%), a good chance of promoted (64%), a chance of win league (32%).

Villarreal B has the most likely position - 18 (25.14%), project points - 52, currently - 49, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has quality 34, importance 52, match rating 43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Las Palmas is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Villarreal B is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Las Palmas is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
08.05.23	Eibar - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
30.04.23	Zaragoza - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Las Palmas - Levante	0:0 ✺
15.04.23	Granada - Las Palmas	2:1 ✺
09.04.23	Las Palmas - Real Oviedo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTTLL
- Villarreal B
Spanish LaLiga2
07.05.23	Villarreal B - Sporting de Gijón	2:0 ✺
01.05.23	Burgos - Villarreal B	1:0 ✺
22.04.23	Villarreal B - Albacete Balompié	1:2 ✺
16.04.23	Leganés - Villarreal B	1:0 ✺
07.04.23	Villarreal B - Málaga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
17.12.22	Villarreal B - Las Palmas	0:1
05.05.12	Villarreal B - Las Palmas	N/A

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