Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 20

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Ibercaja Stadium (Zaragoza)

Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Zaragoza		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.85	2.7	Watch
	2.95	2.95	2.37
	2.88	2.88	2.62	Watch
	2.92	2.91	2.72	Watch
	2.88	2.75	2.63
	2.96	2.96	2.74	Watch
	2.9	2.83	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.17)	2.88 ↓ (2.93)	2.64 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zaragoza
32.3%

Draw
32.4%

Las Palmas
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

32.2%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

32.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	44.4%	44.4%

Zaragoza - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 21.4% – 67.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Zaragoza (votes: 1 - 25%). Las Palmas (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andrada E. (G) 2. Sebastian J. 5. Tachi 16. Radovanovic A. 3. Tasende D. 10. Guti R. 6. Bare K. 14. Francho (C) 7. Soberon M. 21. Valery 19. Kodro K.	1. Horkas D. (G) 17. Viti 6. Sergio Barcia 3. Marmol M. 5. Clemente E. 24. Pejino 16. Amatucci L. 12. Loiodice E. 14. Fuster M. 21. Viera J. (C) 10. Jese
Substitutes
12. Bakis S. 32. Barrachina H. 11. Bazdar S. 23. Cuenca M. A. 36. Gomes A. 9. Gomez D. 17. Moyano F. 8. Moya T. 31. Pinilla H. 15. Pomares C. 13. Rodriguez A. (G) 33. Saidu Y.	4. Alex Suarez 13. Caro J. (G) 18. Cedeno E. 22. Garcia A. 8. Gil I. 26. Gonzalez I. 23. Gutierrez C. 15. Herzog J. 25. Lukovic M. 39. Pedrola E. 35. Suarez A. (G)
Coaches
Selles R.	Garcia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Jese ⚽, Fuster M. (A),
39', Tachi 🟨,
41', Viera J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Kodro K. ⚽,
61', Pejino ↓, Pedrola E. ↑,
61', Jese ↓, Lukovic M. ↑,
66', Sebastian J. ↓, Cuenca M. A. ↑,
66', Soberon M. ↓, Moya T. ↑,
69', Radovanovic A. ↓, Saidu Y. ↑,
72', Viera J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
81', Clemente E. 🟨,
86', Kodro K. ↓, Bakis S. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Pedrola E. ⚽, Loiodice E. (A),
89', Fuster M. ↓, Gil I. ↑,
89', Clemente E. ↓, Gutierrez C. ↑,
90+2', Moya T. 🟨,
90+7', Tasende D. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Zaragoza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Zaragoza: Aguirregabiria M. (Injury) Bazdar S. (Inactive) Carbonell L. (Knee Injury) Insua P. (Yellow Cards) Kosa S. (Injury) Radovanovic A. (Inactive) Sans P. (Inactive) de la Fuente P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Las Palmas: Garcia A. (Hamstring Injury) Ramirez S. (Knee Injury) Recoba J. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez K. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Zaragoza won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.6:1.3).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Las Palmas: 3.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	12:13	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Las Palmas - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.95%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.25	Burgos - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Zaragoza - Cádiz	1:2 ✺
08.12.25	Málaga - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Zaragoza - Burgos	0:1 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.25	Zaragoza - Leganés	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TLTLW
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
20.12.25	Las Palmas - Leonesa	4:0 ✺
14.12.25	Ceuta - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
08.12.25	Las Palmas - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Castellón - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
21.11.25	Las Palmas - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
30.04.23	Zaragoza - Las Palmas	1:1
13.08.22	Las Palmas - Zaragoza	0:0
19.02.22	Zaragoza - Las Palmas	2:1
13.11.21	Las Palmas - Zaragoza	2:3
15.05.21	Las Palmas - Zaragoza	0:2
26.09.20	Zaragoza - Las Palmas	2:2
14.01.20	Las Palmas - Zaragoza	0:1

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