Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 11

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday


	Burgos		Villarreal B

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	4	Watch
	1.93	3.2	3.7
	2	3.3	3.75	Watch
	2.06	3.25	4.25
	2	3.4	3.6
	2	3.42	3.7	Watch
	1.98	3.25	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.82)	3.3 ↓ (3.6)	3.84 ↓ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
47.1%

Draw
28.5%

Villarreal B
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

26.2%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.8%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Villarreal B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burgos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	12.5%	6.2%

Burgos - Villarreal B Predictions

Users Predictions: Burgos will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Caro J. (G) 6. Navarro R. 18. Aitor Cordoba 24. Saveljich E. 23. Matos Jose 7. Ojeda D. 14. Elgezabal U. (C) 5. Atienza M. 10. Bermejo A. 16. Curro 19. Espiau Hernandez E. D.	13. Morro M. A. (G) 16. Lanchi 4. Perez H. 29. Espigares A. 18. Romero C. 2. Altimira A. 6. del Moral A. (C) 8. Garcia C. 10. Ontiveros J. 11. Pascual J. 9. Fores A.
Substitutes
11. Alex 17. Andy 1. Badiashile L. (G) 2. Gonzalez B. 27. Lopez J. 8. Martin A. 30. Ricoy L. 20. Sierra G.	17. Blanco F. 7. Collado D. 24. Ferrari A. 14. Gelardo A. 22. Geralnik T. 35. Gomez R. (G) 23. Moreno V. 5. Rando A. 27. Requena D. 21. Rodri 15. Sanchez M. 3. Tasende D.
Coaches
Bolo	Alvarez M.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 14 and 12).

Recent matches Burgos is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villarreal B is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Burgos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Burgos will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Burgos won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Burgos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
08.10.23	Tenerife - Burgos	2:1 ✺
04.10.23	Burgos - Leganés	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Valladolid - Burgos	3:0 ✺
23.09.23	Burgos - Elche	4:0 ✺
16.09.23	Albacete Balompié - Burgos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLWL
- Villarreal B
Spanish LaLiga2
09.10.23	Villarreal B - Espanyol	3:1 ✺
03.10.23	Levante - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Villarreal B - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
24.09.23	Villarreal B - Amorebieta	3:1 ✺
16.09.23	Huesca - Villarreal B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
01.05.23	Burgos - Villarreal B	1:0
01.10.22	Villarreal B - Burgos	0:0

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