Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Cardinale Stadium (Seaside, CA)

Referee: Flores G. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, SportsNet Pittsburgh
Venezuela	Disney+


	Monterey Bay		Pittsburgh Riverhounds

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.15	2.12
	3.74	3.29	2.09
	3.24	3.32	2.11	Watch
	3.38	3.38	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (3.35)	3.29 ↓ (3.32)	2.11 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monterey Bay
27.4%

Draw
28.4%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

28.2%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

27.9%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Pittsburgh Riverhounds aligns with the current prediction.

Monterey Bay - Pittsburgh Riverhounds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Campuzano N. (G) 22. Garcia J. 4. Lara A. 2. Gordon N. (C) 12. Robinson G. 16. Gutierrez D. 14. Gallaway P. 6. Fonguck W. 41. Klein J. 88. Gnaulati X. 27. Scott T.	1. Dick E. (G) 16. Ydrach R. 5. Suber S. (C) 23. Vacter G. 13. Biasi L. 15. Sample B. 2. Griffin D. 8. Etou B. 12. Ahl C. 9. Williams A. 14. Mertz R.
Substitutes
13. Fehr M. 5. Guzman C. 31. Ivanovic L. 15. Lyons M. 11. Malango M. 25. Odle D. (G) 21. Sojberg A.	3. Barnes P. 7. Boone C. 18. Garcia J. 17. Larsen B. 28. Osumanu I. 31. Randolph J. (G) 42. Walti J.
Coaches
Stewart J.	Vincent R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Vacter G. 🟨,
20', Garcia J. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Suber S. ⚽, Vacter G. (A),
37', Gallaway P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', Williams A. 🟨,
57', Scott T. ↓, Sojberg A. ↑,
57', Gallaway P. ↓, Fehr M. ↑,
57', Gutierrez D. ↓, Malango M. ↑,
68', Ydrach R. ↓, Osumanu I. ↑,
69', Ahl C. ↓, Walti J. ↑,
69', Garcia J. ↓, Lyons M. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Williams A. ⚽,
76', Etou B. ↓, Barnes P. ↑,
86', 0 - 3, Walti J. ⚽, Griffin D. (A),
88', Mertz R. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
89', Williams A. ↓, Larsen B. ↑,

Preview

Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )

Monterey Bay is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pittsburgh's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Monterey Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pittsburgh might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Monterey Bay won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monterey Bay FC
USL Championship
04.10.25	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Monterey Bay	4:0 ✺
27.09.25	Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Monterey Bay - New Mexico United	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Monterey Bay - Hartford Athletic	0:4 ✺
06.09.25	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Monterey Bay	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWTLL
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USL Championship
11.10.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Indy Eleven	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Miami - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Las Vegas Lights	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Hartford Athletic - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Louisville City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
06.07.24	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Monterey Bay	0:1
05.05.23	Monterey Bay - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:2

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