The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Latina 22.3%
Draw 28.4%
Crotone 49.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.6%
25.1%
41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.3%
24.2%
42.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Latina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Latina's form might have worsened.
Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crotone's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Latina than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Latina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crotone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Latina - Crotone Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
67. Mastrantonio D. (G) 18. Dutu E. 6. Calabrese B. 13. Marenco F. 3. Porro M. 21. Hergheligiu D. 5. Pellitteri A. 11. Pace F. 80. Quieto D. 14. Gagliano L. 97. Parigi G.
1. Merelli D. (G) 72. Cocetta N. 5. Cargnelutti R. 6. Di Pasquale D. 25. Guerra W. 7. Vinicius 21. Sandri M. 96. Zunno M. 11. Murano J. 27. Maggio M. 9. Gomez G.
Substitutes
1. Basti M. (G) 17. Catasus D. 66. De Marchi D. 19. Di Giovannantonio G. 7. Ekuban J. 2. Ercolano E. 23. Farneti G. 20. Fasan N. 22. Iosa A. (G) 77. Pannitteri O. 32. Parodi G. 28. Regonesi I. 10. Riccardi A. 4. Scravaglieri M. 27. Vona A.
20. Berra F. 80. Bruno K. 32. Calvano S. 16. Gallo A. 23. Groppelli F. 2. Leo D. 19. Marazzotti F. 33. Perlingieri M. 12. Pio Martino A. (G) 18. Piovanello E. 10. Ricci F. 61. Sala A. (G) 8. Stronati R. 77. Vrenna M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Calabrese B. (Own goal),
18', Porro M. 🟨,
39', Cargnelutti R. 🟨,
40', Calabrese B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cocetta N. ↓, Leo D. ↑,
46', Calabrese B. ↓, Fasan N. ↑,
46', Quieto D. ↓, Riccardi A. ↑,
46', Porro M. ↓, Ercolano E. ↑,
47', Zunno M. 🟨,
61', Maggio M. ↓, Gallo A. ↑,
61', Gomez G. ↓, Perlingieri M. ↑,
64', Gagliano L. ↓, Di Giovannantonio G. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Parigi G. ⚽,
74', Sandri M. ↓, Piovanello E. ↑,
86', Pace F. ↓, Vona A. ↑,
90', Zunno M. ↓, Stronati R. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Latina won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, Latina has had a series of away games.
In this match, Crotone is considered a favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Latina won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Latina won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Crotone - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.3%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Italy
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Mastrantonio D. (G) 
Dutu E. 
Quieto D. 
Vinicius 
Catasus D. 
Ekuban J. 
Leo D. 
