Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 11

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Ezio Scida (Crotone) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Dorillo N. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	20:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Calcio


	Crotone		Casarano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.00
	2.12	3.20	3.15	Watch
	2.26	3.25	3.42
	2.14	3.38	3.09	Watch
	2.09	3.05	3.60
	2.06	3.34	3.08	Watch
	2.13	3.30	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.97)	3.25 ↓ (3.34)	3.21 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crotone
43.2%

Draw
28.2%

Casarano
28.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.3%

27.3%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

23.6%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+2%)

Crotone - Casarano Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Casarano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Merelli D. (C) 63. Veltri A. 26. Tanco G. J. 13. Armini N. 19. Feola W. 37. Barcella K. 80. Grosso F. 23. Groppelli F. 99. Crapisto F. 96. Zunno M. 10. Musso A.	97. Farroni A. (G) 2. Ciotti P. 34. Negro S. 36. Matino E. 33. Mercadante M. 17. Maiello R. (C) 23. Logoluso G. 10. Chirico C. 37. Cuzzarella C. 27. Versienti L. 9. Grandolfo F.
Substitutes
28. Andreoni C. 25. Guerra W. 22. Lucano A. (G) 12. Pio Martino A. (G) 31. Rodriguez P. 83. Ruggiero Z. 17. Russo D. 5. Russo L. 7. Stauciuc B. 79. Terrasi G. 18. Tordini M. 8. Torres I.	1. Bacchin F. (G) 29. Gyamfi B. 7. Knezovic B. 46. Leonetti V. 12. Menga C. (G) 8. N’Diaye A. 6. Obleac M. 77. Palumbo F. 30. Podrini F. 21. Zanellato N.
Coaches
Greco L.	Zauri L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Armini N. 🟨,
30', Negro S. 🟨,
38', Cuzzarella C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Crapisto F. 🟨,
57', Chirico C. 🟨,
65', Cuzzarella C. ↓, Zanellato N. ↑,
65', Versienti L. ↓, Gyamfi B. ↑,
71', Feola W. ↓, Andreoni C. ↑,
71', Musso A. ↓, Russo D. ↑,
71', Grosso F. ↓, Ruggiero Z. ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Grandolfo F. ⚽, Chirico C. (A),
83', Barcella K. ↓, Tordini M. ↑,
83', Matino E. ↓, Obleac M. ↑,
83', Chirico C. ↓, Leonetti V. ↑,
85', Armini N. ↓, Stauciuc B. ↑,
90', Maiello R. ↓, Palumbo F. ↑,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 20th in the Relegation and 17th in the Serie C - Play Out).

Crotone has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Casarano is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Crotone holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Crotone has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 2:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Crotone against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Casarano	11	4	2	5	13:18	-5	14
20	Crotone	11	1	4	6	10:16	-6	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C
18.10.26	Bari - Crotone	0:0 ✺
10.10.26	Crotone - Audace Cerignola	2:3 ✺
03.10.26	Catania - Crotone	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Crotone - Salernitana	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Monopoli - Crotone	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLLWT
- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
18.10.26	Cavese - Casarano	5:2 ✺
11.10.26	Casarano - Salernitana	0:0 ✺
03.10.26	Sorrento - Casarano	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Casarano - Monopoli	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Savoia - Casarano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
19.04.26	Casarano - Crotone	1:2
15.12.25	Crotone - Casarano	2:0

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