Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 18

Date: 15 December 2025, Monday

Location: Stadio Ezio Scida (Crotone)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Crotone		Casarano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.65	4.85
	1.63	3.65	5.09
	1.62	3.72	5.03	Watch
	1.62	3.3	5
	1.59	3.5	5.34	Watch
	1.61	3.66	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.63)	3.58 ↑ (3.45)	5.11 ↓ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crotone
56.6%

Draw
25.5%

Casarano
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

26.4%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

25.4%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Crotone - Casarano Predictions

Users Predictions: Crotone will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Crotone will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Merelli D. (G) 72. Cocetta N. 20. Berra F. 6. Di Pasquale D. 25. Guerra W. 7. Vinicius 21. Sandri M. 96. Zunno M. 27. Maggio M. 9. Gomez G. 11. Murano J.	1. Bacchin F. (G) 19. Guastamacchia A. 24. Gega E. 29. Gyamfi B. 77. Cajazzo I. 23. Logoluso G. 4. Lulic K. 17. Maiello R. 20. Pinto G. 10. Chirico C. 18. Perez L.
Substitutes
80. Bruno K. 32. Calvano S. 5. Cargnelutti R. 16. Gallo A. 23. Groppelli F. 2. Leo D. 19. Marazzotti F. 33. Perlingieri M. 12. Pio Martino A. (G) 18. Piovanello E. 10. Ricci F. 61. Sala A. (G) 8. Stronati R. 77. Vrenna M.	26. Barone A. 35. Cerbone S. 22. Chiorra N. (G) 8. D'Alena A. 80. Di Dio F. 11. Ferrara V. 30. Malagnino D. 15. Milicevic M. 21. Millico V. 7. Palumbo F. 12. Pucci D. (G) 90. Zanaboni E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Murano J. ⚽,
32', Pinto G. 🟨,
42', Chirico C. 🟨,
43', 🟨,
43', 🟨,
45+6', 2 - 0, Zunno M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Berra F. ↓, Cargnelutti R. ↑,
60', Pinto G. ↓, Di Dio F. ↑,
67', Perez L. ↓, Zanaboni E. ↑,
67', Lulic K. ↓, Ferrara V. ↑,
72', Gomez G. ↓, Piovanello E. ↑,
72', Maggio M. ↓, Gallo A. ↑,
78', Cajazzo I. ↓, Millico V. ↑,
78', Gyamfi B. ↓, Barone A. ↑,
86', Vinicius ↓, Perlingieri M. ↑,
86', Murano J. ↓, Calvano S. ↑,
90', Zanaboni E. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Crotone may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Crotone has had a series of away games.

In this match, Crotone is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Coppa Italia Serie C
10.12.25	Potenza - Crotone	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
05.12.25	Catania - Crotone	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Crotone - Giugliano	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
25.11.25	Sorrento - Crotone	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
21.11.25	Audace Cerignola - Crotone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWWL
- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
06.12.25	Casarano - Latina	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Potenza - Casarano	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Giugliano - Casarano	1:3 ✺
15.11.25	Casarano - Catania	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Nuova Cosenza - Casarano	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLWWL

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