Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 5

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Domenico Francioni (Latina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Latina		Guidonia Montecelio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.90	3.10
	2.25	2.85	3.25	Watch
	2.33	2.94	3.50
	2.24	2.97	3.28	Watch
	2.25	2.90	3.45
	2.19	2.81	3.38	Watch
	2.23	2.95	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.36)	2.9 ↓ (3.15)	3.31 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Latina
40.9%

Draw
31.5%

Guidonia Montecelio
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

29.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

29.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Latina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Guidonia Montecelio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Latina than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Latina - Guidonia Montecelio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Latina will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Latina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
67. Mastrantonio D. (G) 2. Ercolano E. 13. Marenco F. (C) 32. Parodi G. 70. Tomaselli G. 10. Riccardi A. 30. De Ciancio R. 4. De Cristofaro A. 6. Calabrese B. 7. Baez J. 77. Cioffi A.	25. Drago G. (G) 33. Borghini D. 26. Baroni R. 38. Frascatore P. (C) 77. Zappella D. 17. Tascone S. 5. Mastrantonio V. 4. Celeghin E. 8. Errico A. 9. Vertainen E. 10. Spavone A.
Substitutes
1. Basti M. (G) 5. Bruscagin M. 8. Castorri G. 27. D'Angelo Sonny 66. De Marchi D. 19. Di Giovannantonio G. 45. Keita C. 99. Lo Bianco A. 28. Plescia V. 3. Porro M. 96. Sbaccanti C. (G) 16. Sussi C. 9. Sylla Y.	18. D'Urso C. 2. Esempio S. 73. Falleni A. 30. Ferrari F. 3. Malomo A. 23. Murgia A. 22. Ramogida T. (G) 7. Sannipoli D. 14. Santoro S. 96. Stellato G. (G) 21. Tonetto M. 11. Viteritti O.
Coaches
Volpe G.	Lopez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Baez J. ⚽, Tomaselli G. (A),
41', Mastrantonio V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Spavone A. ↓, Ferrari F. ↑,
46', Mastrantonio V. ↓, Sannipoli D. ↑,
46', Errico A. ↓, Tonetto M. ↑,
53', Riccardi A. 🟨,
58', Riccardi A. ↓, D'Angelo Sonny ↑,
58', Tomaselli G. ↓, Porro M. ↑,
64', Vertainen E. ↓, Falleni A. ↑,
73', Cioffi A. ↓, Sussi C. ↑,
81', Tascone S. ↓, D'Urso C. ↑,
83', Porro M. 🟨,
86', De Ciancio R. 🟥,
90', Baez J. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Tonetto M. ⚽, D'Urso C. (A),
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Latina has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guidonia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Latina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Latina has had a series of away games.

Recently, Guidonia has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Latina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Including home match between the teams, Latina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Guidonia	8	3	3	2	10:7	3	12
17	Latina	7	1	3	3	6:9	-3	6

Last Results with these Odds

Latina - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 38.97%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Latina Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
12.09.26	Gubbio - Latina	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
09.09.26	Grosseto - Latina	1:4 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
05.09.26	Latina - Forlì	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Latina	Canceled ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
29.08.26	Ravenna - Latina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWW?L
- Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC
Italian Serie C Group B
12.09.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Reggiana	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Pianese	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Latina	Canceled ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
30.08.26	Atalanta U23 - Guidonia Montecelio	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Gubbio	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TW?LW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Latina	Canceled
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Latina - Guidonia Montecelio	0:0

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