Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 8

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Auguste Bonal (Montbéliard) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	20:00	Viaplay
Finland	21:00	Viaplay
France	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
Netherlands	20:00	Viaplay
Norway	20:00	Viaplay
Sweden	20:00	Viaplay


	Sochaux		Boulogne

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.88	3.10	Watch
	2.37	3.10	3.10
	2.28	3.20	3.15	Watch
	2.40	3.10	3.41
	2.43	3.15	2.99	Watch
	2.35	3.00	3.35
	2.34	3.00	3.23	Watch
	2.38	3.00	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.22)	3.05 ↓ (3.15)	3.17 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochaux
39.8%

Draw
30.7%

Boulogne
29.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29.6%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

28.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Boulogne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	33.3%	11.1%

Sochaux - Boulogne Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sochaux will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Boulogne will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sochaux: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Jeannin M. (G) 26. N'Gatta E. 4. Vitelli A. (C) 14. Peybernes M. 3. Gomis D. 21. Diawara B. 23. Masson J. 77. Nomel L. 24. Demoncy Y. 7. Gomel B. 9. Djoco K.	99. Noukeu B. (G) 15. Pinot A. 25. Kerriou A. 18. Thiam D. 8. Martin J. 14. Bultel J. 19. Binet N. (C) 11. Fatar N. 36. Soumah M. 12. Boyer J. 10. Hbouch A.
Substitutes
97. Agouzoul S. 5. Baghdadi S. 91. Clairicia M. 11. Deedson L. 25. Diop P. 10. Fofana B. 15. Mexique J. 30. Pierre A. (G) 42. Tavares D.	17. Besic B. 20. Brusco T. 22. Duflos S. 64. Epailly T. 9. Lecolier M. 26. Lenne O. 1. Lenogue X. (G) 7. Nassiri A. 21. Platret A.
Coaches
Hognon V.	Dagneaux F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Gomel B. ⚽, Djoco K. (A),
40', Masson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Thiam D. 🟨,
64', Soumah M. ↓, Besic B. ↑,
65', Fatar N. ↓, Platret A. ↑,
68', Djoco K. ↓, Clairicia M. ↑,
68', Nomel L. ↓, Deedson L. ↑,
68', Demoncy Y. ↓, Baghdadi S. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Hbouch A. ⚽, Platret A. (A),
78', Vitelli A. ↓, Agouzoul S. ↑,
84', Gomel B. ↓, Fofana B. ↑,
87', Hbouch A. ↓, Lecolier M. ↑,
87', Bultel J. ↓, Epailly T. ↑,
90', Binet N. ↓, Duflos S. ↑,
90+4', Pinot A. 🟨,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 8th and 17th in the Relegation - Ligue 3).

Sochaux is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Boulogne has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Sochaux is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Sochaux: Cortes E. (Coach's decision) Diop P. (Inactive) Masson J. (Inactive) Vetro J. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Boulogne: Lecolier M. (Muscle Injury) Mion M. (Red Card) Moco Z. (Eye injury) Siliadin L. (Inactive).

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Sochaux has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 2:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sochaux against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Sochaux	10	2	5	3	8:12	-4	11
13	Boulogne	10	1	7	2	7:7	0	10

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Sochaux: 0.59% Boulogne: 0.59%

Last Results with these Odds

Sochaux - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.06%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Boulogne - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.3%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 2
18.09.26	Laval - Sochaux	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Sochaux - Nantes	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Pau - Sochaux	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Clermont - Sochaux	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Sochaux - Guingamp	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWTTW
- US Boulogne
French Ligue 2
19.09.26	Boulogne - Nantes	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Clermont - Boulogne	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Boulogne - Dijon	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Montpellier - Boulogne	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Boulogne - Red Star	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
02.05.25	Boulogne - Sochaux	2:3
10.01.25	Sochaux - Boulogne	1:1

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