Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 17

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Francis Le Basser (Laval)

Referee: Kubler G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3, Moja TV
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Montenegro	Arena Sport 4
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
Usa	beIN Connect, Tubi TV
World	Fanatiz


	Laval		Lorient

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.7	Watch
	4.4	3.7	1.75
	4.5	3.75	1.72	Watch
	4.22	3.73	1.8
	4.22	3.65	1.78	Watch
	4.5	3.6	1.75
	4.52	3.8	1.76	Watch
	4.5	3.75	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↑ (4.16)	3.7 ↑ (3.67)	1.75 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS Xtra En Español

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Current Win Probability

Laval
21%

Draw
25.3%

Lorient
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

25.4%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

25.7%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.4%	10.5%	42.1%

Laval - Lorient Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Laval will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Lorient will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Laval: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samassa M. (G) 7. Vargas T. 21. Kouassi C. 23. Tavares Y. 20. Cherni A. 17. Kokolo W. 19. Sellouki M. 4. Roye J. (C) 6. Sanna S. 10. Zohi K. 18. Tchokounte M.	38. Mvogo Y. (G) 24. Kalulu G. 5. Mendy F. 3. Talbi M. 44. Yongwa D. 77. Katseris P. 6. Abergel L. (C) 62. Avom A. 10. Pagis P. 27. Tosin A. 22. Kroupi E. J.
Substitutes
27. Adeoti J. 5. Adilehou M. 34. Faurand-Tournaire A. 1. Hautbois M. (G) 25. Seidou E. 14. Tell J. 8. Thomas T.	60. Genton E. 66. James I. 11. Le Bris T. 1. Leroy B. (G) 17. Makengo J. 21. Ponceau J. 28. Soumano S.
Coaches
Frapolli O.	Pantaloni O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', Katseris P. ↓, Le Bris T. ↑,
61', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Ponceau J. ↑,
66', Talbi M. 🟨,
67', 1 - 0, Kouassi C. ⚽,
69', Roye J. 🟨,
76', Tosin A. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
76', Avom A. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
81', Sellouki M. ↓, Thomas T. ↑,
81', Zohi K. ↓, Tell J. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Tchokounte M. ⚽, Tell J. (A),
87', Roye J. ↓, Adeoti J. ↑,
90+1', Abergel L. ↓, Genton E. ↑,
90+2', Cherni A. ↓, Seidou E. ↑,
90+3', Tchokounte M. ↓, Faurand-Tournaire A. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Laval in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Lorient is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lorient could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lorient is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Laval won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.6:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Laval won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Laval
Coupe De France
20.12.24	SA Mérignac - Laval	0:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
13.12.24	Amiens - Laval	1:3 ✺
06.12.24	Laval - Caen	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
30.11.24	Laval - Concarneau	3:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
22.11.24	Martigues - Laval	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWWW
- FC Lorient
Coupe De France
21.12.24	Tours - Lorient	Lorient walkover ✺
French Ligue 2
14.12.24	Lorient - Paris FC	2:0 ✺
06.12.24	Lorient - Troyes	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
30.11.24	Monnaie - Lorient	0:5 ✺
French Ligue 2
23.11.24	Bastia - Lorient	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 ?WWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.07.19	Lorient - Laval	1:0
14.07.18	Laval - Lorient	0:2
French Coupe de la Ligue
08.08.17	Laval - Lorient	1:2 penalties
Club Friendly
09.07.14	Lorient - Laval	1:2
18.07.12	Laval - Lorient	N/A

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