Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 14

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Armand Cesari (Bastia)

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Fanatiz


	Bastia		Lorient

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.25
	3	3.3	2.3
	3.22	3.46	2.27
	3.04	3.36	2.28	Watch
	3	3.3	2.25
	3.15	3.42	2.26	Watch
	3	3.3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.12)	3.37 ↓ (3.51)	2.27 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 5

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Current Win Probability

Bastia
30.7%

Draw
27.9%

Lorient
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

26.7%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

25.6%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	7.7%	69.2%

Bastia - Lorient Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Lorient will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Placide J. (G) 24. Meynadier T. 6. Guidi D. 4. Roncaglia A. 17. Ariss Z. 13. Ducrocq T. 66. Janneh J. 27. Tramoni L. 5. Maggiotti J. 14. Etoga L. 11. Cisse L.	38. Mvogo Y. (G) 2. Igor Silva 15. Laporte J. 3. Talbi M. 44. Yongwa D. 6. Abergel L. 77. Katseris P. 62. Avom A. 17. Makengo J. 21. Ponceau J. 28. Soumano S.
Substitutes
15. Bohnert F. 10. Boutrah A. 23. Fabri J. (G) 2. Inao Oulai C. 29. Mazikou S. 25. Rodrigues C. 9. Tomi F.	7. Diarra S. 60. Genton E. 66. James I. 11. Le Bris T. 1. Leroy B. (G) 93. Mvuka Mugisha J. 27. Tosin A.
Coaches
Tavenot B.	Pantaloni O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Janneh J. 🟥,
32', Ariss Z. 🟨,
37', Makengo J. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Ducrocq T. 🟨,
53', 🟨,
57', Katseris P. ↓, Mvuka Mugisha J. ↑,
60', Cisse L. ↓, Boutrah A. ↑,
60', Maggiotti J. ↓, Inao Oulai C. ↑,
60', Tramoni L. ↓, Bohnert F. ↑,
61', Inao Oulai C. 🟨,
67', Guidi D. ↓, Mazikou S. ↑,
77', Etoga L. ↓, Tomi F. ↑,
81', Laporte J. 🟨,
85', Igor Silva 🟨,
86', Ponceau J. ↓, Le Bris T. ↑,
89', Yongwa D. 🟨,
90+5', Roncaglia A. 🟥,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bastia won 2.

Bastia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lorient is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lorient could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Bastia have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Lorient: Bamba M. (Injury) Diarra S. (Knee Injury) Fadiga B. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Bastia won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:14 (average 1.4:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
08.11.24	Laval - Bastia	2:2 ✺
02.11.24	Caen - Bastia	2:0 ✺
29.10.24	Bastia - Rodez	2:2 ✺
22.10.24	Pau - Bastia	1:1 ✺
18.10.24	Bastia - Clermont	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLTTT
- FC Lorient
French Ligue 2
09.11.24	Lorient - Guingamp	3:1 ✺
01.11.24	Clermont - Lorient	2:1 ✺
29.10.24	Lorient - Dunkerque	4:2 ✺
25.10.24	Rodez - Lorient	3:3 ✺
19.10.24	Lorient - Annecy	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France
21.01.23	Bastia - Lorient	1:2 penalties
French Ligue 1
14.05.17	Bastia - Lorient	2:0
20.08.16	Lorient - Bastia	0:3
05.03.16	Bastia - Lorient	0:0
16.08.15	Lorient - Bastia	1:1
28.02.15	Lorient - Bastia	2:0
04.10.14	Bastia - Lorient	0:2

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