Match Info

Ligue 2 - Relegation - Final

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Francis Le Basser (Laval)

Referee: Petit A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Laval		Rouen FC

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.9	2.63	Watch
	2.68	2.98	2.68	Watch
	2.81	3.08	2.86
	2.62	2.99	2.87
	2.7	2.9	2.63
	2.71	3.02	2.69	Watch
	1.93	3.2	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.25)	3.01 ↓ (3.2)	2.85 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laval
36%

Draw
31.1%

Rouen FC
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

28.8%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

27.6%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Rouen FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Laval, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rouen FC than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	22.7%	13.6%

Laval - Rouen FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Laval will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Rouen FC will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Laval: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Laval (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Laval (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samassa M. (G) 22. Kouassi C. 4. Ouaneh P. 24. Bane S. 3. Bianda W. 6. Sanna S. (C) 10. Sellouki M. 25. Montet E. 8. Thomas T. 31. Houdayer M. 9. Camara M.	1. Maraval A. (G) 20. Goprou D. 23. Bouzamoucha S. 22. Mendy F. 10. Rocha Santos K. 6. Benzia M. 21. Ba-Sy A. 18. Bassin C. (C) 11. Kerouedan A. 27. Seydi I. 3. Cartillier A.
Substitutes
26. Benard W. 20. Clavreul E. 1. Hautbois M. (G) 28. Maggiotti J. 15. Mbayo D. 23. Tavares Y. 7. Vargas T.	8. Bezzekhami O. 24. Egny G. 14. Faye S. 15. Fuss V. 5. Genton E. 30. Temperton A. (G) 2. Titebah N.
Coaches
Frapolli O.	Brouard R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Rocha Santos K. 🟥,
25', 1 - 0, Sellouki M. ⚽, Houdayer M. (A),
35', Thomas T. 🟨,
35', Benzia M. 🟨,
37', Seydi I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Thomas T. ↓, Mbayo D. ↑,
63', Montet E. 🟨,
66', Mendy F. 🟨,
69', Kouassi C. ↓, Vargas T. ↑,
69', Montet E. ↓, Benard W. ↑,
70', Ba-Sy A. ↓, Faye S. ↑,
70', Kerouedan A. ↓, Titebah N. ↑,
70', Seydi I. ↓, Fuss V. ↑,
74', Benzia M. ↓, Egny G. ↑,
78', Benard W. 🟨,
81', Bouzamoucha S. ↓, Bezzekhami O. ↑,
83', Houdayer M. ↓, Clavreul E. ↑,
83', Sellouki M. ↓, Maggiotti J. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Laval may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Laval is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Laval: Aradj Y. (Inactive) Dago T. (Inactive) Maddy E. (Inactive) Samb L. (Foot Injury) Tchokounte M. (Inactive) Vargas T. (Inactive)

There will not play in Rouen FC: Ait Moujane Y. (Inactive) Renel S. (Injury) Titebah N. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Laval won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Laval won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Laval: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8:14	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Laval
French Ligue 2
19.05.26	Rouen FC - Laval	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Laval - Boulogne	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Troyes - Laval	4:0 ✺
24.04.26	Laval - Rodez	0:0 ✺
20.04.26	Dunkerque - Laval	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWLTW
- Rouen FC
French Ligue 2
19.05.26	Rouen FC - Laval	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 3
15.05.26	Fleury 91 - Rouen FC	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Rouen FC - Versailles	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Quevilly - Rouen FC	0:0 ✺
24.04.26	Rouen FC - Aubagne	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
19.05.26	Rouen FC - Laval	1:1
Club Friendly
23.07.25	Laval - Rouen FC	1:1

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