Match Info

Ligue 2 - Relegation - Final

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stade Robert Diochon (Rouen)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
France	beIN Connect
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1


	Rouen FC		Laval

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.31	3.3	3.22
	2.31	3.14	3.13
	2.2	2.9	3
	2.28	3.2	3.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.42)	3.14 ↓ (3.15)	3.12 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rouen FC
40.9%

Draw
29.4%

Laval
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

29.4%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

29.5%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rouen FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rouen FC than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	60%	30%

Rouen FC - Laval Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Rouen FC will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Laval will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maraval A. (G) 6. Benzia M. 23. Bouzamoucha S. 22. Mendy F. 3. Cartillier A. 20. Goprou D. 8. Bezzekhami O. 27. Seydi I. 18. Bassin C. (C) 11. Kerouedan A. 15. Fuss V.	30. Samassa M. (G) 22. Kouassi C. 4. Ouaneh P. 24. Bane S. 3. Bianda W. 6. Sanna S. (C) 10. Sellouki M. 8. Thomas T. 14. Mandouki C. 31. Houdayer M. 9. Camara M.
Substitutes
21. Ba-Sy A. 4. Borne M. 24. Egny G. 14. Faye S. 5. Genton E. 7. Mbock J. 30. Temperton A. (G)	20. Clavreul E. 12. Commaret M. 1. Hautbois M. (G) 28. Maggiotti J. 15. Mbayo D. 25. Montet E. 23. Tavares Y.
Coaches
Brouard R.	Frapolli O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Mandouki C. ⚽, Houdayer M. (A),
21', Bane S. 🟨,
30', Bezzekhami O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, Fuss V. (Penalty Awarded),
55', Ouaneh P. 🟨,
62', Sellouki M. 🟨,
63', Benzia M. ↓, Genton E. ↑,
63', Bezzekhami O. ↓, Ba-Sy A. ↑,
74', Kerouedan A. ↓, Mbock J. ↑,
74', Seydi I. ↓, Faye S. ↑,
75', Sellouki M. ↓, Clavreul E. ↑,
75', Houdayer M. ↓, Mbayo D. ↑,
76', Cartillier A. 🟨,
82', Fuss V. ↓, Egny G. ↑,
85', Thomas T. 🟨,
90+2', Camara M. ↓, Maggiotti J. ↑,
90+2', Thomas T. ↓, Montet E. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Laval may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rouen FC will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rouen FC won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Laval: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8:14	-6	5

Last Results with these Odds

Rouen FC - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.2%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Laval - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 32.41%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rouen FC
French Ligue 3
15.05.26	Fleury 91 - Rouen FC	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Rouen FC - Versailles	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Quevilly - Rouen FC	0:0 ✺
24.04.26	Rouen FC - Aubagne	3:1 ✺
17.04.26	Concarneau - Rouen FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTWT
- Stade Laval
French Ligue 2
09.05.26	Laval - Boulogne	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Troyes - Laval	4:0 ✺
24.04.26	Laval - Rodez	0:0 ✺
20.04.26	Dunkerque - Laval	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Laval - Reims	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.07.25	Laval - Rouen FC	1:1

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