Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 15

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Francis Le Basser (Laval)

Referee: Abed K. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free


	Laval		Troyes

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.9	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3.05	2.18
	3.96	3.14	2.06
	3.55	3.17	2.11	Watch
	3.55	3.04	2.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 (3.55)	3.06 ↓ (3.17)	2.12 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laval
26.1%

Draw
30.2%

Troyes
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

29.5%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

28.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laval than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	18.7%	68.7%

Laval - Troyes Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Laval will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Troyes will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Troyes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Laval (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Laval (votes: 1 - 50%). Troyes (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samassa M. (G) 6. Sanna S. (C) 4. Ouaneh P. 3. Bianda W. 2. Pellenard T. 35. Samb L. 10. Sellouki M. 14. Mandouki C. 26. Benard W. 20. Clavreul E. 9. Camara M.	40. Konate H. (G) 2. Maronnier L. 6. Monfray A. (C) 23. Gambor H. 14. Boura I. 8. Diop M. 10. Ifnaoui M. 17. Mille A. 5. Adeline M. 11. Detourbet M. 20. Ripart R.
Substitutes
21. Aradj Y. 27. Faurand-Tournaire A. 1. Hautbois M. (G) 28. Maggiotti J. 25. Montet E. 18. Tchokounte M. 7. Vargas T.	15. Assoumou J. 1. Boucher Z. (G) 36. Diakite A. 33. Donkor N. 35. Murcy R. 3. Ouzenadji A. 34. Traore I.
Coaches
Frapolli O.	Dumont S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Camara M. 🟨,
26', Monfray A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Adeline M. ⚽, Ifnaoui M. (A),
63', Pellenard T. ↓, Tchokounte M. ↑,
63', Clavreul E. ↓, Maggiotti J. ↑,
68', Benard W. ↓, Vargas T. ↑,
68', Mandouki C. 🟨,
74', Ripart R. ↓, Assoumou J. ↑,
86', Sanna S. ↓, Montet E. ↑,
86', Sellouki M. ↓, Faurand-Tournaire A. ↑,
86', Konate H. 🟨,
89', Tchokounte M. 🟨,
90', Detourbet M. ↓, Traore I. ↑,
90+3', Mille A. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Laval won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Troyes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Laval: Adilehou M. (Inactive) Commaret M. (Injury) Tavares Y. (Injury) Thomas T. (Inactive)

There will not play in Troyes: Lemaitre N. (Injury) Traore I. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Troyes: Adeline M. (Injury) Assoumou J. (Injury) Phliponeau A. (Inactive) Titi Y. (Inactive)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Laval won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 0.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Laval won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Laval
Coupe De France
15.11.25	Le Cellier Mauves - Laval	0:6 ✺
French Ligue 2
07.11.25	Nancy - Laval	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Guingamp - Laval	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Laval - Le Mans	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Laval - Red Star	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLTL
- Troyes AC
Coupe De France
15.11.25	France dAizenay - Troyes	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 2
08.11.25	Troyes - Saint-Étienne	2:3 ✺
03.11.25	Pau - Troyes	1:1 ✺
28.10.25	Troyes - Amiens	3:1 ✺
24.10.25	Reims - Troyes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
24.01.25	Laval - Troyes	1:0
01.11.24	Troyes - Laval	0:0
10.05.24	Laval - Troyes	1:2
12.08.23	Troyes - Laval	3:1
20.01.17	Laval - Troyes	1:0
12.08.16	Troyes - Laval	1:0
French Coupe de la Ligue
09.08.16	Laval - Troyes	1:0

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