Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 13

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday

Location: Nouste Camp (Pau)

Referee: Petit A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free


	Pau		Troyes

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.25	Watch
	3.15	3.2	2.18
	2.84	3.44	2.26	Watch
	3.37	3.3	2.13	Watch
	3	3.2	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.84)	3.29 ↓ (3.44)	2.23 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pau
30.1%

Draw
28.3%

Troyes
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

26.8%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

25.7%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Pau - Troyes Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Troyes will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pau (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Raveyre N. (G) 3. Kalulu J. 23. Briancon A. 97. Meddah D. 26. Glossoa N. 21. Beusnard S. (C) 6. Fall C. 9. Dong K. 14. Bobichon A. 7. Messi R. 18. Sadik O.	40. Konate H. (G) 2. Maronnier L. 6. Monfray A. (C) 25. Gozzi P. 14. Boura I. 17. Mille A. 8. Diop M. 5. Adeline M. 10. Ifnaoui M. 21. Bentayeb T. 11. Detourbet M.
Substitutes
19. Kante 2. Pouilly T. 30. Salles E. (G) 17. Sissoko O. 84. Touzghar R. 10. Versini G. 87. Zuliani E.	1. Boucher Z. (G) 33. Donkor N. 9. El Idrissy M. 23. Gambor H. 12. Odede E. 3. Ouzenadji A. 20. Ripart R.
Coaches
Usai N.	Dumont S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Bentayeb T. 🟥,
21', Raveyre N. ↓, Salles E. ↑,
24', Adeline M. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
24', El Idrissy M. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Messi R. ⚽,
43', Meddah D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 1 - 1, Diop M. ⚽, Ifnaoui M. (A),
64', Dong K. 🟨,
68', Dong K. ↓, Versini G. ↑,
69', Sadik O. ↓, Sissoko O. ↑,
75', Bobichon A. ↓, Touzghar R. ↑,
81', Beusnard S. ↓, Zuliani E. ↑,
81', Glossoa N. ↓, Pouilly T. ↑,
83', Detourbet M. ↓, Odede E. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 0.

In recent matches, Pau has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Troyes is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Pau: Beusnard S. (Injury) Gasnier K. (Inactive) Gaspar J. (Inactive) Karamoko S. (Red Card) Ruiz J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Troyes: Lemaitre N. (Injury) Traore I. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Troyes: Phliponeau A. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pau won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
28.10.25	Saint-Étienne - Pau	6:0 ✺
24.10.25	Pau - Dunkerque	0:3 ✺
17.10.25	Grenoble - Pau	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Pau - Clermont	3:1 ✺
26.09.25	Rodez - Pau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLTWW
- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
28.10.25	Troyes - Amiens	3:1 ✺
24.10.25	Reims - Troyes	0:0 ✺
17.10.25	Troyes - Bastia	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Le Mans - Troyes	2:2 ✺
26.09.25	Troyes - Annecy	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
07.03.25	Pau - Troyes	0:2
29.10.24	Troyes - Pau	3:0
23.04.24	Troyes - Pau	2:2
19.12.23	Pau - Troyes	1:1
23.01.21	Pau - Troyes	0:1
12.09.20	Troyes - Pau	2:0

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