Match Info

Serie A - Round 38

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 7
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Iraq	Almanasa
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV2
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Slovakia	Sport 1, Voyo
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 3
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Lazio		Pisa

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.7	4.75	Watch
	1.55	4.33	5.5
	1.75	3.7	4.7	Watch
	1.76	3.9	5
	1.73	3.81	4.82	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.5
	1.77	3.99	5.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.51)	3.86 ↓ (4.34)	4.9 ↓ (6.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lazio
55.8%

Draw
24.7%

Pisa
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

21.9%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

18%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lazio's form might have worsened.

Pisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.9%	13.8%	10.3%

Lazio - Pisa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lazio (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lazio will win (22 of 27 users predict this - 81.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.83% – 96.13%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Furlanetto A. (G) 77. Marusic A. 34. Gila M. 13. Romagnoli A. 3. Pellegrini Lu. 7. Dele-Bashiru F. 21. Belahyane R. 26. Basic T. 22. Cancellieri M. 14. Noslin T. 9. Pedro (C)	1. Semper A. (G) 33. Calabresi A. (C) 5. Canestrelli S. 2. Bozhinov R. 7. Leris M. 20. Aebischer M. 14. Akinsanmiro E. 21. Vural I. 3. Angori S. 32. Moreo S. 81. Stojilkovic F.
Substitutes
19. Dia B. 71. Farcomeni V. 99. Giacomone G. (G) 2. Gigot S. 23. Hysaj E. 18. Isaksen G. 29. Lazzari M. 27. Maldini D. 72. Pannozzo N. (G) 4. Patric 25. Provstgaard O. 28. Przyborek A. 20. Ratkov P.	39. Albiol R. 42. Bettazzi B. 11. Cuadrado J. 17. Durosinmi R. 8. Hojholt M. 19. Iling Junior S. 35. Loyola F. 9. Meister H. 12. Nicolas Andrade (G) 36. Piccinini G. 22. Scuffet S. (G) 23. Stengs C. 15. Toure I.
Coaches
Sarri M.	Hiljemark O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', Gila M. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Moreo S. ⚽, Aebischer M. (A),
29', Noslin T. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Dele-Bashiru F. ⚽, Belahyane R. (A),
35', 2 - 1, Pedro ⚽, Noslin T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gila M. ↓, Provstgaard O. ↑,
46', Akinsanmiro E. ↓, Hojholt M. ↑,
61', Pedro ↓, Dia B. ↑,
61', Aebischer M. ↓, Loyola F. ↑,
62', Stojilkovic F. ↓, Piccinini G. ↑,
71', Leris M. ↓, Cuadrado J. ↑,
71', Cancellieri M. ↓, Maldini D. ↑,
72', Piccinini G. 🟨,
77', Calabresi A. ↓, Bettazzi B. ↑,
82', Pellegrini Lu. ↓, Lazzari M. ↑,
82', Dele-Bashiru F. ↓, Przyborek A. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Pisa is Relegated to Serie B

Lazio has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pisa is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Pisa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lazio is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Lazio: Provedel I. (Shoulder Injury) Rovella N. (Red Card) Tavares N. (Yellow Cards) Taylor K. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Pisa: Caracciolo Ant. (Yellow Cards) Coppola F. (Muscle Injury) Denoon D. (Ankle Injury) Lorran (Coach's decision) Marin M. (Knee Injury) Tramoni M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Lazio: Motta E. (Thigh Injury) Patric (Muscle Injury) Zaccagni M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lazio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Lazio: 0.93%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8:3	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
17.05.26	Roma - Lazio	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
13.05.26	Lazio - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
09.05.26	Lazio - Inter Milan	0:3 ✺
04.05.26	Cremonese - Lazio	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Lazio - Udinese	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWT
- AC Pisa
Italian Serie A
17.05.26	Pisa - Napoli	0:3 ✺
10.05.26	Cremonese - Pisa	3:0 ✺
01.05.26	Pisa - Lecce	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Parma - Pisa	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Pisa - Genoa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
30.10.25	Pisa - Lazio	0:0

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