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Cremonese - Lazio

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Match Info

  • Serie A - Round 35
  • Date: 4 May 2026, Monday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)
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    Cremonese Lazio
    Cremonese Lazio
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.16 ↓
    (3.48)    		 3.19 ↓
    (3.36)    		 2.39 ↑
    (2.14)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Cremonese
    30.2%    		Draw
    29.9%    		Lazio
    39.9%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    27.3% 28.3% 44.4%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    27.5% 28.6% 44%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    27.6% 20.7% 51.7%

    Cremonese - Lazio Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Cremonese will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). Lazio will win (votes: 14 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 31.5% โ€“ 68.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremonese (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • EH +1 - Cremonese (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - draw (4.33) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Cremonese (3.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.09) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • BTTS, 2nd Half - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • EH -1, 2nd Half - draw (3.67) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • EH +1, 2nd Half - Cremonese (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +1, 1st Half - Lazio (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +1, 1st Half - Cremonese (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC, 2nd Half - draw (1.46) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • DC, 1st Half - Cremonese (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Cremonese (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB, 1st Half - Cremonese (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Cremonese (2.20) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Lazio (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremonese (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Lazio (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. IndonesiaAudero E. (G)
    24. ItalyTerracciano F.
      6. ItalyBaschirotto F. (C)
      5. ItalyLuperto S.
      3. ItalyPezzella G.
    22. ItalyFloriani R.
    33. ItalyGrassi A.
    29. MoroccoMaleh Y.
      7. ItalyZerbin A.
    90. ItalyBonazzoli F.
    99. ParaguaySanabria A.
    		40. ItalyMotta E. (G)
    77. MontenegroMarusic A.
    13. ItalyRomagnoli A.
    25. DenmarkProvstgaard O.
    17. PortugalTavares N.
    26. CroatiaBasic T.
      4. SpainPatric
    24. NetherlandsTaylor K.
    18. DenmarkIsaksen G.
    27. ItalyMaldini D.
    10. ItalyZaccagni M. (C)
    Substitutes
      4. ItalyBarbieri T.
    15. ItalyBianchetti M.
    38. FranceBondo W.
    23. ItalyCeccherini F.
    18. ItalyCollocolo M.
      9. BosniaDjuric M.
    30. SenegalFaye M.
    55. ItalyFolino F.
    69. ItalyNava L. (G)
    77. NigeriaOkereke D.
    32. ArgentinaPayero M.
    16. ItalySilvestri M. (G)
      2. NorwayThorsby M.
    10. EnglandVardy J.
    		21. MoroccoBelahyane R.
      7. NigeriaDele-Bashiru F.
    19. SenegalDia B.
    99. ItalyGiacomone G. (G)
    29. ItalyLazzari M.
    14. NetherlandsNoslin T.
    72. ItalyPannozzo N. (G)
      9. SpainPedro
      3. ItalyPellegrini Lu.
    28. PolandPrzyborek A.
    20. SerbiaRatkov P.
      6. ItalyRovella N.
    Coaches
         ItalyGiampaolo M.
    		     ItalySarri M.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 0)
    • 21', Baschirotto F. ↓, Bianchetti M. ↑,
    • 29', 1 - 0, Bonazzoli F. ⚽, Floriani R. (A),
    • 40', Provstgaard O. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
    • 46', Patric ↓, Rovella N. ↑,
    • 46', Maldini D. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
    • 53', 1 - 1, Isaksen G. ⚽, Noslin T. (A),
    • 60', Zaccagni M. ↓, Pedro ↑,
    • 61', Sanabria A. ↓, Vardy J. ↑,
    • 61', Grassi A. ↓, Bondo W. ↑,
    • 61', Zerbin A. ↓, Payero M. ↑,
    • 68', Floriani R. ↓, Barbieri T. ↑,
    • 71', Taylor K. ↓, Dele-Bashiru F. ↑,
    • 76', Barbieri T. 🟨,
    • 81', Isaksen G. ↓, Dia B. ↑,
    • 88', Tavares N. 🟨,
    • 90+2', 1 - 2, Noslin T. ⚽, Dia B. (A),

    Preview

  • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 10).
  • Cremonese is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • In recent matches, Lazio has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ€“ 2).
  • Cremonese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
  • There will not play in Lazio: Cancellieri M. (Yellow Cards) Cataldi D. (Groin Injury) Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Gila M. (Leg Injury) Provedel I. (Shoulder Injury)
  • There are questionable in Cremonese: Moumbagna F. (Muscle Injury)
  • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cremonese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.5:2.8).
  • Including home match between the teams, Cremonese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

    • Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    2Lazio981022:71525

    Outrights of Italian Serie A for now
    Lazio: 4.12%
    Last Results with these Odds

    Lazio - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 44.41%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - US Cremonese
    Italian Serie A
    24.04.26 Napoli - Cremonese 4:0 ✺
    19.04.26 Cremonese - Torino 0:0 ✺
    11.04.26 Cagliari - Cremonese 1:0 ✺
    05.04.26 Cremonese - Bologna 1:2 ✺
    21.03.26 Parma - Cremonese 0:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8
    LTLLW
    - SS Lazio
    Italian Serie A
    27.04.26 Lazio - Udinese 3:3 ✺
    Coppa Italia
    22.04.26 Atalanta - Lazio 1:2 penalties ✺
    Italian Serie A
    18.04.26 Napoli - Lazio 0:2 ✺
    13.04.26 Fiorentina - Lazio 1:0 ✺
    04.04.26 Lazio - Parma 1:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5
    TWWLT
    Latest Head to Head
    Italian Serie A
    20.12.25 Lazio - Cremonese 0:0
    28.05.23 Lazio - Cremonese 3:2
    18.09.22 Cremonese - Lazio 0:4
    Coppa Italia
    14.01.20 Lazio - Cremonese 4:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - US Cremonese
    Italian Serie B
    31.10.26 Cremonese - Benevento ✺
    - SS Lazio
    Italian Serie A
    01.11.26 Lazio - Cagliari ✺

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