Match Info

Serie A - Round 35

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona)

Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Iraq	Almanasa
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 2
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Cremonese		Lazio

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.38	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.45
	3.05	3.2	2.42	Watch
	3.23	3.25	2.45
	3.26	3.12	2.38	Watch
	3.2	3	2.3
	3.38	3.28	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.48)	3.19 ↓ (3.36)	2.39 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese
30.2%

Draw
29.9%

Lazio
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

28.3%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

28.6%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.6%	20.7%	51.7%

Cremonese - Lazio Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Cremonese will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). Lazio will win (votes: 14 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 31.5% – 68.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremonese (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +1 - Cremonese (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - draw (4.33) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Cremonese (3.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.09) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .

EH -1, 2nd Half - draw (3.67) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

EH +1, 2nd Half - Cremonese (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1, 1st Half - Lazio (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1, 1st Half - Cremonese (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC, 2nd Half - draw (1.46) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

DC, 1st Half - Cremonese (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Cremonese (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB, 1st Half - Cremonese (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Cremonese (2.20) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -0.25 - Lazio (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremonese (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Lazio (votes: 3 - 23.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Audero E. (G) 24. Terracciano F. 6. Baschirotto F. (C) 5. Luperto S. 3. Pezzella G. 22. Floriani R. 33. Grassi A. 29. Maleh Y. 7. Zerbin A. 90. Bonazzoli F. 99. Sanabria A.	40. Motta E. (G) 77. Marusic A. 13. Romagnoli A. 25. Provstgaard O. 17. Tavares N. 26. Basic T. 4. Patric 24. Taylor K. 18. Isaksen G. 27. Maldini D. 10. Zaccagni M. (C)
Substitutes
4. Barbieri T. 15. Bianchetti M. 38. Bondo W. 23. Ceccherini F. 18. Collocolo M. 9. Djuric M. 30. Faye M. 55. Folino F. 69. Nava L. (G) 77. Okereke D. 32. Payero M. 16. Silvestri M. (G) 2. Thorsby M. 10. Vardy J.	21. Belahyane R. 7. Dele-Bashiru F. 19. Dia B. 99. Giacomone G. (G) 29. Lazzari M. 14. Noslin T. 72. Pannozzo N. (G) 9. Pedro 3. Pellegrini Lu. 28. Przyborek A. 20. Ratkov P. 6. Rovella N.
Coaches
Giampaolo M.	Sarri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Baschirotto F. ↓, Bianchetti M. ↑,
29', 1 - 0, Bonazzoli F. ⚽, Floriani R. (A),
40', Provstgaard O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Patric ↓, Rovella N. ↑,
46', Maldini D. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Isaksen G. ⚽, Noslin T. (A),
60', Zaccagni M. ↓, Pedro ↑,
61', Sanabria A. ↓, Vardy J. ↑,
61', Grassi A. ↓, Bondo W. ↑,
61', Zerbin A. ↓, Payero M. ↑,
68', Floriani R. ↓, Barbieri T. ↑,
71', Taylor K. ↓, Dele-Bashiru F. ↑,
76', Barbieri T. 🟨,
81', Isaksen G. ↓, Dia B. ↑,
88', Tavares N. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Noslin T. ⚽, Dia B. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 10).

Cremonese is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Lazio has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cremonese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Lazio: Cancellieri M. (Yellow Cards) Cataldi D. (Groin Injury) Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Gila M. (Leg Injury) Provedel I. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Cremonese: Moumbagna F. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cremonese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.5:2.8).

Including home match between the teams, Cremonese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Lazio: 0.93%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8:3	5	13

Last Results with these Odds

Lazio - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 44.41%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Cremonese
Italian Serie A
24.04.26	Napoli - Cremonese	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	Cremonese - Torino	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Cagliari - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Cremonese - Bologna	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Parma - Cremonese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTLLW
- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
27.04.26	Lazio - Udinese	3:3 ✺
Coppa Italia
22.04.26	Atalanta - Lazio	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
18.04.26	Napoli - Lazio	0:2 ✺
13.04.26	Fiorentina - Lazio	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Lazio - Parma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
20.12.25	Lazio - Cremonese	0:0
28.05.23	Lazio - Cremonese	3:2
18.09.22	Cremonese - Lazio	0:4
Coppa Italia
14.01.20	Lazio - Cremonese	4:0

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