Match Info

Serie A - Round 35

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa)

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, ZAP
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Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
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Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
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Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
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Uzbekistan	Zor TV
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Pisa		Lecce

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2.38	Watch
	3	3.1	2.45
	3.35	2.98	2.42	Watch
	3.5	2.99	2.48
	3.53	2.8	2.46	Watch
	3.1	2.8	2.45
	3.64	3.05	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.56)	2.96 ↓ (3.09)	2.43 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pisa
28.4%

Draw
32.2%

Lecce
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

30.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

30.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pisa's form might have worsened.

Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lecce's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pisa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lecce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	33.3%	61.1%

Pisa - Lecce Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 2 - 5.7%). Lecce will win (votes: 21 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 34.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lecce: 43.8% – 76.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Pisa (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pisa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Semper A. (G) 5. Canestrelli S. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 2. Bozhinov R. 7. Leris M. 21. Vural I. 14. Akinsanmiro E. 20. Aebischer M. 3. Angori S. 81. Stojilkovic F. 32. Moreo S.	30. Falcone W. (C) 17. Veiga D. 5. Siebert J. 44. Tiago Gabriel 25. Gallo A. 20. Ramadani Y. 79. Ngom O. 50. Pierotti S. 29. Coulibaly L. 19. Banda L. 99. Cheddira W.
Substitutes
39. Albiol R. 33. Calabresi A. 26. Coppola F. 11. Cuadrado J. 17. Durosinmi R. 8. Hojholt M. 19. Iling Junior S. 99. Lorran 35. Loyola F. 9. Meister H. 12. Nicolas Andrade (G) 36. Piccinini G. 22. Scuffet S. (G) 23. Stengs C. 15. Toure I.	22. Camarda F. 1. Fruchtl C. (G) 16. Gandelman O. 28. Gorter O. 14. Helgason T. J. 18. Jean G. 80. Kovac N. 36. Marchwinski F. 3. Ndaba C. 11. Ndri K. 13. Perez M. 6. Sala A. 32. Samooja J. (G) 9. Stulic N.
Coaches
Hiljemark O.	Di Francesco E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Caracciolo Ant. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 0 - 1, Banda L. ⚽, Cheddira W. (A),
56', 1 - 1, Leris M. ⚽,
61', Aebischer M. 🟨,
64', Angori S. ↓, Toure I. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Cheddira W. ⚽, Pierotti S. (A),
66', Cheddira W. 🟨,
70', Vural I. ↓, Piccinini G. ↑,
70', Stojilkovic F. ↓, Meister H. ↑,
71', Banda L. ↓, Jean G. ↑,
71', Cheddira W. ↓, Camarda F. ↑,
81', Bozhinov R. ↓, Cuadrado J. ↑,
81', Akinsanmiro E. ↓, Durosinmi R. ↑,
82', Durosinmi R. 🟨,
88', Pierotti S. 🟨,
90', Meister H. 🟨,
90+3', Pierotti S. ↓, Gandelman O. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pisa won 2.

Pisa has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Lecce's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Lecce could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pisa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Pisa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Lecce: 0.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5:10	-5	6

Last Results with these Odds

Pisa - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.98%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie A
25.04.26	Parma - Pisa	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Pisa - Genoa	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Roma - Pisa	3:0 ✺
05.04.26	Pisa - Torino	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Como - Pisa	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
25.04.26	Verona - Lecce	0:0 ✺
20.04.26	Lecce - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Bologna - Lecce	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Lecce - Atalanta	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Roma - Lecce	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
12.12.25	Lecce - Pisa	1:0
Italian Serie B
25.04.22	Lecce - Pisa	2:0
11.12.21	Pisa - Lecce	1:0
05.04.21	Pisa - Lecce	0:1
19.12.20	Lecce - Pisa	0:3
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
27.04.14	Pisa - Lecce	1:0
15.12.13	Lecce - Pisa	2:0

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