Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 13

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday


	Leça		Machico

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.6	7.5
	1.31	4.7	8
	1.3	5.05	10.02
	1.31	4.75	8
	1.31	4.7	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.41)	4.76 ↑ (4)	8.3 ↑ (7.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leça
69.8%

Draw
19.2%

Machico
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

22.8%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

21.9%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leça's performance.

Machico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leça than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machico than the current prediction. (+1%)

Leça - Machico Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Pauleta ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 1 - 1, ⚽,
70', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leça FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.12.24	Guarda FC - Leça	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Leça - Salgueiros 08	0:2 ✺
30.11.24	União Lamas - Leça	0:3 ✺
10.11.24	Leça - Gondomar	3:2 ✺
03.11.24	Marítimo B - Leça	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWWW
- AD Machico
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.12.24	Machico - Beira-Mar	3:1 ✺
08.12.24	Alpendorada - Machico	2:0 ✺
30.11.24	Guarda FC - Machico	3:0 ✺
17.11.24	Machico - Régua	4:0 ✺
10.11.24	Machico - Salgueiros 08	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.01.23	Machico - Leça	0:1
25.09.22	Leça - Machico	4:0

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