Match Info

Date: 17 October 2020, Saturday


	Le Havre		Châteauroux

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.8	Watch
	2	2.95	4.1
	2.05	2.88	4.1	Watch
	2.05	2.95	3.8
	2.14	3.12	4.07
	2.1	3	4	Watch
	2.09	3.02	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.93)	3 ↓ (3.03)	4.01 ↓ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Havre
45.4%

Draw
31.2%

Châteauroux
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

30.9%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

24%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Châteauroux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Le Havre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Châteauroux, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	29.4%	17.6%

Le Havre - Châteauroux Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 18 - 52.9%). Châteauroux will win (votes: 6 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 36.1% – 69.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 13).

Le Havre has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Châteauroux has a chance of relegated (21%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Le Havre is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Châteauroux is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Le Havre is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Le Havre won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 2
03.10.20	Paris FC - Le Havre	3:0 ✺
26.09.20	Nancy - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
19.09.20	Le Havre - Niort	0:1 ✺
12.09.20	Guingamp - Le Havre	1:3 ✺
29.08.20	Le Havre - Amiens	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LWLWW
- Châteauroux
French Ligue 2
03.10.20	Châteauroux - Niort	2:0 ✺
26.09.20	Chambly - Châteauroux	2:1 ✺
19.09.20	Châteauroux - Amiens	0:0 ✺
12.09.20	Valenciennes - Châteauroux	1:0 ✺
29.08.20	Châteauroux - Auxerre	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
28.02.20	Châteauroux - Le Havre	0:3
27.09.19	Le Havre - Châteauroux	0:1
26.04.19	Châteauroux - Le Havre	1:0
04.12.18	Le Havre - Châteauroux	2:1
16.03.18	Châteauroux - Le Havre	2:1
20.10.17	Le Havre - Châteauroux	1:1
French Coupe de la Ligue
23.08.16	Le Havre - Châteauroux	2:5

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