The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guingamp 30.4%
Draw 30.8%
Le Havre 38.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37%
30.8%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.3%
30.2%
32.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guingamp's form might have worsened.
Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Le Havre's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guingamp, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Le Havre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.3%
37.5%
54.2%
Guingamp - Le Havre Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Le Havre will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 34.3% – 74.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
Guingamp has the most likely position - 8 (7.46%), has project points - 53, has currently - 20, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Le Havre has the most likely position - 1 (28.3%), has project points - 67, has currently - 29, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (49%), has a chance of win league (28%).
This event has quality38, importance48, match rating43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 1.
Recent matches Guingamp is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Le Havre is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Le Havre will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Guingamp won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-8.
France
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