Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 24

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Océane (Le Havre)

Referee: Souifi A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Le Havre		Niort

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.75	5.25	Watch
	1.63	3.5	5.75
	1.6	3.8	5.25
	1.62	3.72	6.59
	1.6	3.4	5.8
	1.61	3.72	5.95	Watch
	1.6	3.7	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.49)	3.66 ↓ (3.9)	5.77 ↓ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Havre
58.2%

Draw
25.6%

Niort
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

23.9%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

23.3%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Niort has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Le Havre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niort than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	0%	15%

Le Havre - Niort Predictions

Users Predictions: Le Havre will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Le Havre has the most likely position - 1 (73.18%), has project points - 74, has currently - 48, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of promoted (91%), has a good chance of win league (73%).

Niort has the most likely position - 20 (22.57%), has project points - 39, has currently - 23, has a good chance of relegated (70%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 32, big importance 72, match rating 52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 2.

Le Havre is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Niort is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Le Havre is a favorite.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 7 matches, drawn 11 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Le Havre won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 2
11.02.23	Sochaux - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
03.02.23	Le Havre - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
31.01.23	Bordeaux - Le Havre	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	Amiens - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
13.01.23	Le Havre - Nîmes	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTWTW
- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 2
11.02.23	Niort - Bordeaux	3:1 ✺
03.02.23	Dijon - Niort	0:1 ✺
31.01.23	Niort - Amiens	1:3 ✺
28.01.23	Nîmes - Niort	3:2 ✺
Coupe De France
22.01.23	Niort - Auxerre	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
10.09.22	Niort - Le Havre	0:1
05.02.22	Niort - Le Havre	0:0
21.08.21	Le Havre - Niort	2:1
30.01.21	Niort - Le Havre	0:0
19.09.20	Le Havre - Niort	0:1
10.01.20	Niort - Le Havre	0:1
02.08.19	Le Havre - Niort	1:1

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