Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 6

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Stade Océane (Le Havre)

Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Le Havre		Clermont

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	3	Watch
	2.45	3.05	3.15	Watch
	2.45	3.1	3.1
	2.56	3.07	3.27
	2.2	3	3
	2.51	3.08	3.13	Watch
	2.48	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.64)	3.07 ↓ (3.32)	3.15 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN La Liga

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Current Win Probability

Le Havre
38.9%

Draw
30.9%

Clermont
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

28.3%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

28.5%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Clermont might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Clermont could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Le Havre - Clermont Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 24 - 75%). Clermont will win (votes: 4 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 60% – 90%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Desmas A. (G) 22. Salmier Y. 93. Sangante A. (C) 4. Lloris G. 27. Operi C. 23. Casimir J. 94. Toure A. 8. Kechta Y. 10. Alioui N. 9. Bayo M. 14. Kuzyaev D.	99. Diaw M. (G) 36. Seidu A. 17. Pelmard A. 5. Caufriez M. 15. Konate C. O. 12. Gonalons M. (C) 25. Gastien J. 23. Nicholson S. 7. Magnin Y. 11. Allevinah J. 10. Muhammed Cham
Substitutes
17. El Hajjam O. 1. Gorgelin M. (G) 29. Grandsir S. 20. Logbo A. 18. Mbemba N. 19. Ndiaye R. 11. Sabbi E. 45. Soumare I. 6. Youte Kinkoue E.	91. Bela J. 24. Berkani S. 8. Boutobba B. 6. Keita H. 95. Kyei G. 1. Ndiaye M. (G) 21. Ogier F. 18. Rashani E. 2. Zeffane M.
Coaches
Elsner L.	Gastien P.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 0.

Recent matches Le Havre is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Clermont has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 16-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Le Havre won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 1
17.09.23	Lyon - Le Havre	0:0 ✺
03.09.23	Le Havre - Lorient	3:0 ✺
27.08.23	Rennes - Le Havre	2:2 ✺
20.08.23	Le Havre - Brest	1:2 ✺
13.08.23	Montpellier - Le Havre	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 TWTLT
- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 1
17.09.23	Clermont - Nantes	0:1 ✺
03.09.23	Toulouse - Clermont	2:2 ✺
27.08.23	Clermont - Metz	0:1 ✺
20.08.23	Reims - Clermont	2:0 ✺
13.08.23	Clermont - Monaco	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.08.23	Clermont - Le Havre	1:0
French Ligue 2
17.04.21	Clermont - Le Havre	1:1
14.12.20	Le Havre - Clermont	0:0
13.12.19	Clermont - Le Havre	2:1
French Coupe de la Ligue
13.08.19	Clermont - Le Havre	2:1 penalties
French Ligue 2
28.01.19	Clermont - Le Havre	0:0
17.08.18	Le Havre - Clermont	0:0

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