Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Roazhon Park (Rennes)

Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
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Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
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France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
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Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
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Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Rennes		Le Havre

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.1	5.25	Watch
	1.6	4.4	4.9	Watch
	1.61	4.27	5.09	Watch
	1.62	3.9	4.8
	1.67	4.32	5.43	Watch
	1.6	4.2	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.65)	4.2 ↑ (3.95)	5.13 ↑ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rennes
58.8%

Draw
22.7%

Le Havre
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

23.8%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

23.1%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Rennes aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.4%	11.6%	7%

Rennes - Le Havre Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Rennes (2.02) (votes: 3 - 60%) .

Users Predictions: Rennes will win (35 of 43 users predict this - 81.4%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.77% – 93.03%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Le Havre (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samba B. (G) 36. Seidu A. 24. Rouault A. 3. Brassier L. 21. Rongier V. (C) 95. Frankowski P. 45. Camara M. 26. Merlin Q. 11. Tamari M. 7. Embolo B. 9. Lepaul E.	77. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) 7. Nego L. 93. Sangante A. (C) 4. Lloris G. 18. Zouaoui Y. 14. Ndiaye R. 15. Seko A. 26. Ebonog S. 10. Mambimbi F. 33. Quetant K. 45. Soumare I.
Substitutes
20. Belazzoug K. (G) 10. Blas L. 6. Cisse D. 8. Fofana S. 14. Kamara G. 35. Legendre E. 50. Meite M. 18. Nagida M. 16. Silistrie M. (G)	50. Argney P. (G) 23. Boufal S. 13. Doucoure F. 8. Kechta Y. 11. Kyeremeh G. 20. Obougou N. 2. Pembele T. 25. Samatta A. 36. Vinette E. K.
Coaches
Beye H.	Digard D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Soumare I. ↓, Samatta A. ↑,
33', Tamari M. 🟨,
42', Lloris G. ↓, Pembele T. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', 0 - 1, Mambimbi F. ⚽, Ndiaye R. (A),
72', Quetant K. 🟨,
73', Merlin Q. ↓, Blas L. ↑,
73', Lepaul E. ↓, Meite M. ↑,
75', Mpasi-Nzau L. 🟨,
79', Pembele T. ↓, Kechta Y. ↑,
79', Quetant K. ↓, Doucoure F. ↑,
79', Mambimbi F. ↓, Boufal S. ↑,
80', Tamari M. ↓, Legendre E. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Embolo B. ⚽, Blas L. (A),
90', Ebonog S. 🟨,
90+2', Frankowski P. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
90+10', Samatta A. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 3.

Rennes is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Le Havre's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Le Havre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Le Havre has had a series of home games.

In this match, Rennes is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Rennes: Ait Boudlal A. (International duty) Jacquet J. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Le Havre: Diaw M. (International duty) Kechta Y. (Inactive) Khadra R. (Shoulder Injury) Mosengo D. N. (Knock) Toure A. (Knee Injury) Youte Kinkoue E. (Health problems)

We predict that Rennes will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rennes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Rennes: 3.2% Le Havre: 0.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8:9	-1	10
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4:7	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Rennes
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Chantilly - Rennes	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
03.01.26	Lille - Rennes	0:2 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Rennes - Les Sables	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
13.12.25	Rennes - Brest	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Rennes	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWL
- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 1
04.01.26	Le Havre - Angers	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Le Havre - Amiens	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.12.25	Lyon - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Le Havre - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Le Havre - Lille	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
05.10.25	Le Havre - Rennes	2:2
13.04.25	Le Havre - Rennes	1:5
25.10.24	Rennes - Le Havre	1:0
11.02.24	Le Havre - Rennes	0:1
27.08.23	Rennes - Le Havre	2:2
Club Friendly
10.07.21	Le Havre - Rennes	2:2
08.07.15	Le Havre - Rennes	2:1

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