Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 22

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Marie-Marvingt (Le Mans)

Referee: Landry R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free


	Le Mans		Laval

	1	X	2
	1.75	2.9	4.75	Watch
	1.78	3.25	4.8
	1.82	3	4.85	Watch
	1.9	3.09	5.45
	1.8	3.05	5.52	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4.8
	1.88	3.1	5.08	Watch
	1.78	3	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.69)	3.04 ↓ (3.48)	5.11 ↓ (5.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Mans
51.1%

Draw
30.7%

Laval
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

26.8%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

25.4%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Laval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Le Mans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laval than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	10%	5%

Le Mans - Laval Predictions

Users Predictions: Le Mans will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Le Mans will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Kocik N. (G) 21. Eyoum T. 17. Yohou S. 3. Cossier I. 18. Buades L. 8. Lauray A. 6. Quarshie E. (C) 22. Calodat L. 27. Rossignol M. 9. Rabillard A. 28. Colas E.	30. Samassa M. (G) 3. Bianda W. 12. Commaret M. 35. Samb L. 22. Kouassi C. 14. Mandouki C. 10. Sellouki M. 6. Sanna S. (C) 8. Thomas T. 15. Mbayo D. 9. Camara M.
Substitutes
11. Bourabaa A. 29. Bretelle L. 25. Gueye D. 26. Hamdi M. 1. Hatfout E. (G) 23. Luvambo T. 5. Voyer H.	26. Benard W. 20. Clavreul E. 1. Hautbois M. (G) 31. Houdayer M. 34. Maddy E. 25. Montet E. 23. Tavares Y. 18. Tchokounte M.
Coaches
Videira P.	Frapolli O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Samb L. ↓, Benard W. ↑,
33', Kouassi C. 🟨,
37', Camara M. 🟨,
39', Yohou S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Cossier I. 🟨,
51', Thomas T. 🟨,
52', Quarshie E. 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Camara M. (Penalty Awarded),
61', 1 - 1, Buades L. ⚽,
62', Rossignol M. ↓, Bourabaa A. ↑,
62', Quarshie E. ↓, Bretelle L. ↑,
66', Rabillard A. ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
75', Mbayo D. ↓, Maddy E. ↑,
75', Sellouki M. ↓, Clavreul E. ↑,
82', Cossier I. ↓, Voyer H. ↑,
82', Colas E. ↓, Luvambo T. ↑,
84', Thomas T. ↓, Houdayer M. ↑,
84', Camara M. ↓, Tchokounte M. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 1.

Le Mans is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Laval is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Le Mans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Le Mans is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Le Mans: Bretelle L. (Inactive) Gomes M. (Ankle Injury) Harhouz W. (Leg Injury) Vercruysse J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Laval: Dago T. (Inactive) Maggiotti J. (Inactive)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Le Mans won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1:0).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Laval: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8:14	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans FC
Coupe De France
03.02.26	Reims - Le Mans	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
31.01.26	Troyes - Le Mans	0:2 ✺
26.01.26	Le Mans - Dunkerque	1:0 ✺
16.01.26	Rodez - Le Mans	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Le Mans - Nancy	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWTW
- Stade Laval
Coupe De France
04.02.26	Lyon - Laval	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
30.01.26	Laval - Pau	0:1 ✺
23.01.26	Amiens - Laval	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Laval - Bastia	0:2 ✺
Coupe De France
10.01.26	Istres - Laval	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
28.10.25	Laval - Le Mans	1:1
French Ligue 3
27.02.22	Le Mans - Laval	2:0
Coupe De France
27.11.21	Laval - Le Mans	2:1 penalties
French Ligue 3
17.09.21	Laval - Le Mans	2:1
27.03.21	Laval - Le Mans	2:1
26.10.20	Le Mans - Laval	0:0
06.04.19	Laval - Le Mans	3:1

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