Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 12

Date: 11 November 2022, Friday

Location: Stade Marie-Marvingt (Le Mans)


	Le Mans		Le Puy

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.9	5.75
	1.49	3.95	5.3
	1.48	4.1	6
	1.52	4.2	6.57
	1.44	3.75	6.5
	1.47	4.1	6.1	Watch
	1.47	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.75)	4 ↑ (3.23)	6.03 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Mans
62%

Draw
22.9%

Le Puy
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

28%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

27.6%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Le Mans's performance.

Le Puy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Le Puy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Le Mans that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Puy than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Le Puy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	23.5%	17.6%

Le Mans - Le Puy Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Le Puy will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Le Mans is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Le Puy is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Le Mans is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 3
04.11.22	Cholet - Le Mans	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
29.10.22	AGL Drapeau Fougères - Le Mans	3:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 3
21.10.22	Le Mans - Martigues	1:1 ✺
12.10.22	Versailles - Le Mans	2:1 ✺
30.09.22	Le Mans - Avranches	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTLW
- Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne
French Ligue 3
04.11.22	Martigues - Le Puy	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
28.10.22	Le Puy - Andrézieux	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 3
21.10.22	Le Puy - Avranches	1:1 ✺
12.10.22	Paris 13 Atletico - Le Puy	1:1 ✺
30.09.22	Le Puy - Red Star	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWTTL

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