Match Info

Date: 30 September 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Le Puy		Red Star

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.95	2.05
	3.7	3	1.97
	3.5	3.1	2.08
	4.05	3.21	2.05
	3.6	2.9	2.05
	3.82	3.05	2.01	Watch
	3.55	3.15	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (2.84)	3.05 ↑ (3.03)	2.05 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Puy
25.1%

Draw
30%

Red Star
44.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32%

29.9%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

29%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Puy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Le Puy's form might have worsened.

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Star's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Puy than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Le Puy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Star, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Le Puy - Red Star Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Le Puy will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Red Star will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Red Star will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Le Puy won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne
French Ligue 3
23.09.22	Sedan - Le Puy	0:0 ✺
16.09.22	Le Puy - Villefranche	1:1 ✺
09.09.22	Stade Briochin - Le Puy	0:1 ✺
02.09.22	Le Puy - Châteauroux	1:2 ✺
26.08.22	Cholet - Le Puy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTWLL
- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 3
23.09.22	Red Star - Martigues	2:2 ✺
16.09.22	Avranches - Red Star	1:1 ✺
12.09.22	Red Star - Paris 13 Atletico	0:2 ✺
05.09.22	Le Mans - Red Star	0:0 ✺
29.08.22	Sedan - Red Star	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
01.11.19	Red Star - Le Puy	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne
French Ligue 3
31.10.26	Le Puy - Caen	✺
- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 2
02.11.26	Red Star - Nancy	✺

Le Puy - Red Star