Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday


	Lealtad		Sporting de Gijón B

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.7	2.5
	2.9	2.7	2.6
	3.2	2.37	2.85
	3.04	2.56	2.71	Watch
	2.83	2.97	2.5
	2.9	2.7	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.91)	2.67 ↓ (3.25)	2.63 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lealtad
31%

Draw
34.2%

Sporting de Gijón B
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

27.9%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

27.2%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lealtad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Sporting de Gijón B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting de Gijón B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón B than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting de Gijón B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lealtad - Sporting de Gijón B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Coundoul A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 1, Amandi Raigoso I. ⚽,
90+9', 🟥,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lealtad won 1.

Lealtad is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sporting de Gijón B is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Lealtad won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 0.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lealtad won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.8:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lealtad
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
25.05.25	Caudal Deportivo - Lealtad	1:3 ✺
18.05.25	Lealtad - Caudal Deportivo	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Lealtad - Avilés Stadium	6:0 ✺
04.05.25	Mosconia - Lealtad	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Lealtad - Praviano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WLWWT
- Sporting de Gijón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
25.05.25	Covadonga - Sporting de Gijón B	0:1 ✺
18.05.25	Sporting de Gijón B - Covadonga	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Condal - Sporting de Gijón B	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Sporting de Gijón B - Ceares	4:0 ✺
20.04.25	Colunga - Sporting de Gijón B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
23.02.25	Lealtad - Sporting de Gijón B	0:1
13.10.24	Sporting de Gijón B - Lealtad	1:0
17.03.24	Lealtad - Sporting de Gijón B	0:1
29.10.23	Sporting de Gijón B - Lealtad	3:0
05.03.23	Sporting de Gijón B - Lealtad	0:1
30.10.22	Lealtad - Sporting de Gijón B	1:2
15.05.22	Sporting de Gijón B - Lealtad	0:1

Lealtad - Sporting de Gijón B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide