The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leandro N. Alem 27.3%
Draw 29.7%
Argentino de Merlo 43%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.3%
33.3%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.2%
35.5%
35.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leandro N. Alem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Argentino de Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Argentino de Merlo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leandro N. Alem than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Argentino de Merlo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.2%
4.1%
87.8%
Leandro N. Alem - Argentino de Merlo Predictions
Users Predictions:
49 users predict this event. Leandro N. Alem will win (votes: 4 - 8.2%). Argentino de Merlo will win (votes: 43 - 87.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Argentino de Merlo: 78.6% – 97%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Leandro N. Alem is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Argentino de Merlo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Argentino de Merlo will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Leandro N. Alem won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Leandro N. Alem won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
Watch
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