Match Info

Serie A - Round 14

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona)

Referee: Mucera G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, ZAP
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
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Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPN Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True Premier Football 4
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football


	Cremonese		Lecce

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.48	2.98	3.25	Watch
	2.46	3.02	3.57
	2.35	3.04	3.42	Watch
	2.4	3	3
	2.34	3.16	3.49
	2.36	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.65)	3.04 ↓ (3.09)	3.34 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese
39.9%

Draw
31.4%

Lecce
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

30.8%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

31.1%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lecce could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.9%	25%	3.1%

Cremonese - Lecce Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Cremonese will win (votes: 23 - 74.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 25.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cremonese: 58.8% – 89.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremonese (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Audero E. (G) 24. Terracciano F. 6. Baschirotto F. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 38. Bondo W. 4. Barbieri T. 32. Payero M. 27. Vandeputte J. 22. Floriani R. 90. Bonazzoli F. 10. Vardy J.	30. Falcone W. (C) 17. Veiga D. 4. Gaspar K. 44. Tiago Gabriel 25. Gallo A. 29. Coulibaly L. 20. Ramadani Y. 10. Berisha M. 50. Pierotti S. 9. Stulic N. 19. Banda L.
Substitutes
23. Ceccherini F. 55. Folino F. 33. Grassi A. 11. Johnsen D. 48. Lordkipanidze D. 14. Moumbagna F. 69. Nava L. (G) 99. Sanabria A. 19. Sarmiento J. 16. Silvestri M. (G) 8. Valoti M. 20. Vazquez F. 7. Zerbin A.	22. Camarda F. 14. Helgason T. J. 77. Kaba M. 21. Kouassi C. 93. Maleh Y. 3. Ndaba C. 11. Ndri K. 6. Sala A. 32. Samooja J. (G) 5. Siebert J. 23. Sottil R. 7. Tete Morente
Coaches
Nicola D.	Di Francesco E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+3', Banda L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Banda L. ↓, Sottil R. ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Bonazzoli F. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Stulic N. ↓, Camarda F. ↑,
67', Pierotti S. ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
67', Vandeputte J. ↓, Zerbin A. ↑,
67', Bondo W. ↓, Grassi A. ↑,
74', Bonazzoli F. ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
77', Berisha M. ↓, Sala A. ↑,
77', Ramadani Y. ↓, Kaba M. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Sanabria A. ⚽, Zerbin A. (A),
83', Bianchetti M. 🟨,
85', Gallo A. 🟨,
88', Bianchetti M. ↓, Vazquez F. ↑,
88', Barbieri T. ↓, Folino F. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cremonese won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Cremonese: Collocolo M. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Lecce: Jean G. (Knee Injury) Rafia H. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cremonese: Faye M. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Lecce: Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury) Pierret B. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cremonese won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cremonese won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Cremonese - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.88%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Cremonese
Italian Serie A
01.12.25	Bologna - Cremonese	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Cremonese - Roma	1:3 ✺
07.11.25	Pisa - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Cremonese - Juventus	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Genoa - Cremonese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 WLLLW
- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
30.11.25	Lecce - Torino	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Lazio - Lecce	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Lecce - Verona	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Fiorentina - Lecce	0:1 ✺
28.10.25	Lecce - Napoli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
04.02.23	Cremonese - Lecce	0:2
02.10.22	Lecce - Cremonese	1:1
Italian Serie B
23.01.22	Lecce - Cremonese	2:1
22.08.21	Cremonese - Lecce	3:0
13.02.21	Cremonese - Lecce	1:2
21.10.20	Lecce - Cremonese	2:2
07.04.19	Cremonese - Lecce	2:0

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