The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Benevento 40.6%
Draw 28.9%
Lecce 30.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.7%
29.5%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.4%
21.8%
21.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+15.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benevento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lecce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.2%
35.3%
23.5%
Benevento - Lecce Predictions
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Benevento will win (votes: 14 - 41.2%). Lecce will win (votes: 8 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 35.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Benevento: 24.7% – 57.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Benevento has the most likely position - 10 (6.27%), has project points - 53, has currently - 3, has a small chance of relegated (13%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (35%), has a small chance of promoted (13%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
Lecce has the most likely position - 6 (6.99%), has project points - 55, has currently - 1, has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (39%), has a chance of promoted (16%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
Benevento is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Lecce is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Benevento could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Lecce have a series of guest games.
Benevento will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Benevento won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Benevento won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-7.
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