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Lecce - Milan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Serie A - Round 2
  • Date: 29 August 2025, Friday
  • Location: Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce)
  • Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Lecce Milan
    Lecce Milan
    1 X 2
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    Bwin 6.25 3.8 1.58
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    Bet_in_Asia 7.1 3.95 1.59
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    Williamhill 6 3.6 1.57
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 6.73 ↑
    (5.11)    		 3.77 ↓
    (3.92)    		 1.56 ↓
    (1.68)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Lecce
    14.1%    		Draw
    25.2%    		Milan
    60.7%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    18.7% 24.4% 56.9%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    18.3% 23.8% 58.3%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    6.1% 12.2% 81.7%

    Lecce - Milan Predictions

  • Users Predictions: Milan will win (65 of 80 users predict this - 81.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.7% – 89.8%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Milan will win (30 of 32 users predict this - 93.75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    30. ItalyFalcone W. (C)
    17. PortugalVeiga D.
      4. AngolaGaspar K.
    44. PortugalTiago Gabriel
    25. ItalyGallo A.
    29. MaliCoulibaly L.
    20. AlbaniaRamadani Y.
    77. FranceKaba M.
    50. ArgentinaPierotti S.
    22. ItalyCamarda F.
      7. SpainTete Morente
    		16. FranceMaignan M. (C)
    23. EnglandTomori F.
    46. ItalyGabbia M.
    31. SerbiaPavlovic S.
    80. USAMusah Y.
      8. EnglandLoftus-Cheek R.
    14. CroatiaModric L.
    19. FranceFofana Y.
      2. EcuadorEstupinan P.
      7. MexicoGimenez S.
    56. BelgiumSaelemaekers A.
    Substitutes
    19. ZambiaBanda L.
    10. AlbaniaBerisha M.
      1. GermanyFruchtl C. (G)
    14. IcelandHelgason T. J.
    21. IvoryKouassi C.
    93. MoroccoMaleh Y.
      3. IrelandNdaba C.
    11. IvoryNdri K.
    13. ChilePerez M.
      6. SpainSala A.
    32. FinlandSamooja J. (G)
      5. GermanySiebert J.
    23. ItalySottil R.
      9. SerbiaStulic N.
    		24. SwitzerlandAthekame Z.
    33. ItalyBartesaghi D.
    21. NigeriaChukwueze S.
      5. BelgiumDe Winter K.
    99. SurinameMul C.
    37. ItalyPittarella M. (G)
    11. USAPulisic C.
      4. ItalyRicci S.
      1. ItalyTerracciano P. (G)
    Coaches
         ItalyDi Francesco E.
    		     ItalyAllegri M.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
    • 46', Camarda F. ↓, Stulic N. ↑,
    • 63', Pierotti S. ↓, Sottil R. ↑,
    • 63', Kaba M. ↓, Berisha M. ↑,
    • 64', Gaspar K. 🟨,
    • 66', 0 - 1, Loftus-Cheek R. ⚽, Modric L. (A),
    • 77', Loftus-Cheek R. ↓, Ricci S. ↑,
    • 77', Saelemaekers A. ↓, Pulisic C. ↑,
    • 82', Ramadani Y. ↓, Helgason T. J. ↑,
    • 82', Tete Morente ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
    • 86', 0 - 2, Pulisic C. ⚽,
    • 88', Gimenez S. ↓, Mul C. ↑,

    Preview

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 0.
  • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
  • In this match, Milan is a strong favorite.
  • There will not play in Lecce: Jean G. (Knee Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury)
  • There will not play in Milan: Jashari A. (Calf Injury) Leao R. (Injury)
  • There are questionable in Lecce: Pierret B. (Illness) Rafia H. (Illness)
  • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:23. (average 1:2.6).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.8:2.8).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - US Lecce
    Italian Serie A
    23.08.25 Genoa - Lecce 0:0 ✺
    Coppa Italia
    15.08.25 Lecce - Juve Stabia 2:0 ✺
    Club Friendly
    09.08.25 Monopoli - Lecce 2:2 ✺
    03.08.25 Lecce - Carrarese 1:0 ✺
    Friendly
    31.07.25 Lecce - United Arab Emirates 1:3 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8
    TWTWL
    - AC Milan
    Italian Serie A
    23.08.25 Milan - Cremonese 1:2 ✺
    Coppa Italia
    17.08.25 Milan - Bari 2:0 ✺
    Club Friendly
    10.08.25 Chelsea - Milan 4:1 ✺
    09.08.25 Leeds United - Milan 1:1 ✺
    31.07.25 Perth Glory - Milan 0:9 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4
    LWLTW
    Latest Head to Head
    Italian Serie A
    08.03.25 Lecce - Milan 2:3
    27.09.24 Milan - Lecce 3:0
    06.04.24 Milan - Lecce 3:0
    11.11.23 Lecce - Milan 2:2
    23.04.23 Milan - Lecce 2:0
    14.01.23 Lecce - Milan 2:2
    22.06.20 Lecce - Milan 1:4
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - US Lecce
    Italian Serie A
    11.10.26 Lecce - Bologna ✺
    - AC Milan
    UEFA Europa League
    15.10.26 Red Bull Salzburg - Milan ✺
    Italian Serie A
    11.10.26 Sassuolo - Milan ✺

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