Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 28

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Referee: Gualtieri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Ascoli		Reggiana

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.88	3.8	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3.6
	2.3	2.85	3.5	Watch
	2.34	2.81	3.8
	2.41	2.72	4.08
	2.27	2.95	3.67	Watch
	2.28	2.8	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.33)	2.83 ↓ (2.94)	3.73 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
41.2%

Draw
33.5%

Reggiana
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

32.1%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

31.7%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	75%	6.2%

Ascoli - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Reggiana will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Viviano E. (G) 16. Vaisanen S. 55. Bellusci G. 3. Mantovani V. 23. Falzerano M. 8. Giovane S. 18. Di Tacchio F. 7. Zedadka K. 41. Valzania L. 90. Mendes P. 15. D'Uffizi S.	22. Bardi F. (G) 31. Sampirisi M. 4. Rozzio P. 27. Marcandalli A. 15. Fiamozzi R. 42. Bianco A. 8. Cigarini L. 3. Pieragnolo E. 28. Antiste J. 80. Girma N. 11. Gondo C.
Substitutes
40. Bayeye B. J. 12. Bolletta L. (G) 33. Botteghin E. 10. Caligara F. 13. Celia R. 29. Duris D. 94. Maiga Silvestri Y. 20. Milanese T. 14. Quaranta D. 99. Rodriguez P. 11. Streng J. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G)	20. Blanco A. 17. Libutti L. 72. Melegoni F. 14. Nuhu S. 18. Okwonkwo O. 29. Pajac M. 23. Pettinari S. 90. Portanova M. 16. Reinhart T. 12. Satalino G. (G) 25. Szyminski P. 7. Varela Djamanca M.
Coaches
Castori F.	Nesta A.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Ascoli will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
27.02.24	Ascoli - Brescia	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	FeralpiSalò - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
16.02.24	Ascoli - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
10.02.24	Catanzaro - Ascoli	3:2 ✺
04.02.24	Ascoli - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWTLL
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
27.02.24	Reggiana - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Brescia - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Reggiana - Ternana	0:2 ✺
10.02.24	Cremonese - Reggiana	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Reggiana - FeralpiSalò	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
25.11.23	Reggiana - Ascoli	1:1
14.02.21	Reggiana - Ascoli	1:0
20.10.20	Ascoli - Reggiana	2:1
Italian Serie C Group A
17.05.15	Ascoli - Reggiana	2:2 ET
Italian Serie C Group B
22.03.15	Ascoli - Reggiana	1:1
09.11.14	Reggiana - Ascoli	0:2

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